|

GBP/JPY Price Forecasts: Tests resistance at 209.60 as Yen strength wanes

  • GBP/JPY extends gains from 207.57 lows to test the resistance area at 209.60.
  • Weak Japanese GDP data has curbed the recent Yen strength.
  • Price action shows a bullish Head & Shoulders pattern in progress.

The Pound (GBP) is trading higher against the Japanese Yen (JPY) for the second consecutive day on Monday. The pair has extended its recovery from two-month lows near 207.50 to test resistance at 209.60, which capped bulls on Thursday and Friday last week.

The Sterling is drawing some support from a weaker Yen, following downbeat Gross Domestic Product (GDP) figures in Japan. Fourth-quarter data released on Sunday revealed that the Japanese economy grew at a meagre 0.1% pace in the last three months of 2025, undershooting expectations of a 0.4% increase. Annualised figures showed a 0.2% advance, well below the 1.6% increase forecasted by the analysts.

The UK economic calendar is empty on Monday, but investors are likely to remain cautious awaiting the release of the UK’s employment data, die on Tuesday before placing large directional bets on the GBP.

Technical Analysis: Potential bullish Head & Shoulders formation

Chart Analysis GBP/JPY

weeks'

GBP/JPY is testing the 209.60 area, Thursday's high, and the neckline of a potential bullish Head & Shoulders, a pattern typically developing at the end of a cycle. In this case, it would be anticipating a bullish correction from the previous two weeks' reversal.

Technical indicators are moderately supportive. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line climbs above the Signal line near the zero mark. The histogram has turned positive and is widening, suggesting improving momentum. The Relative Strength Index has returned to levels near 50, hinting at stabilizing demand.

Above the mentioned 259.60, the next bullish target is the February 11 high, at 210.54. The measured target of the H&S pattern is at the descending trendline from early February highs, around 211.65. Immediate support is at Friday's low of 208.00. A bearish reversal below last week's bottom, at 207.57, would negate this view.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.10%0.07%0.43%0.03%-0.12%0.00%0.23%
EUR-0.10%-0.03%0.35%-0.07%-0.22%-0.10%0.13%
GBP-0.07%0.03%0.33%-0.04%-0.19%-0.07%0.16%
JPY-0.43%-0.35%-0.33%-0.40%-0.55%-0.43%-0.20%
CAD-0.03%0.07%0.04%0.40%-0.15%-0.03%0.20%
AUD0.12%0.22%0.19%0.55%0.15%0.12%0.35%
NZD-0.01%0.10%0.07%0.43%0.03%-0.12%0.23%
CHF-0.23%-0.13%-0.16%0.20%-0.20%-0.35%-0.23%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces off weekly low on Israel-Lebanon ceasefire

AUD/USD recovers slightly from the weekly low during the Asian session on Thursday as a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire keeps a lid on the safe-haven US Dollar. Meanwhile, the US and Iran remain at odds over key issues, which, along with hawkish Fed expectations, act as a tailwind for the buck. Furthermore, diminishing odds of an RBA rate hike in June cap the currency pair as traders keenly await the US NFP report on Friday.

USD/JPY remains close to 160.00 intervention threshold on Mideast tensions

USD/JPY struggles to find acceptance above 160.00 and retreats from a one-month high during the Asian session on Thursday amid fears that authorities will step in again to prop up the Japanese Yen. Furthermore, a new Israel-Lebanon ceasefire caps the US Dollar and supports the currency pair. However, renewed US-Iran tensions favor the USD bulls amid Fed rate hike bets and also hold back the JPY bulls from placing aggressive bets amid economic risks stemming from the Middle East conflict, suggesting that dips are likely to be bought into.

Gold bounces off one-week low; upside seems capped on Iran uncertainty

Gold recovers from a one-week low touched during the Asian session on Thursday, as news of an Israel-Lebanon ceasefire acts as a headwind for the safe-haven US Dollar. However, renewed hostilities in the Gulf, along with stalled US-Iran peace talks, keep geopolitical risks in play and should support the USD. Moreover, US-Iran tensions remain supportive of higher Crude Oil prices, fueling inflationary concerns and bolstering bets for higher interest rates for longer. This should cap the non-yielding bullion and warrants caution for bulls.


Bitcoin drops below $65K amid reinforced bear market signals

Bitcoin dipped further below $65,000 on Wednesday, with onchain data from Glassnode signaling a market firmly in a bear phase. The decline has pushed prices back into a key valuation range between the Realized Price and the True Market Mean. Glassnode noted that a key shift in market structure has also emerged.

The upside-down math of debt
In 2010, Professors Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff published a paper, Growth in a Time of Debt, which instantly went viral. The main thesis of the paper was that once a government's debt-to-GDP ratio crosses above 90%, a financial crisis and default are around the corner.
Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.