|

GBP/USD capped below 1.28 handle and correctes slide as dollar consolidates into year end

  • GBP/USD is offering form last-minute volatility today, rallying from the 1.2680s to a high of 1.2814 on Brexit noise.
  • GBP/USD has started to correct the slide from the 1.28 handle, recovering from a low of 1.2720 and currently trades at 1.2750. 

UK Parliament is due to return from the holidays, and there will be a vote in the Commons on PM May's and the EU's agreed withdrawal agreement and the political declaration outlining ambition for future talks. May postponed the vote until January when it became clear her deal would be rejected, leading to widespread anger in the Commons. 

A wild ride in the pound

The headlines ever since have been making for a wild ride in the pound and the price action has continued into the last trading day of the year, On one hand, we have had headlines that the odds of Britain leaving the European Union are "50-50" if parliament rejectsTheresa May's Brexit deal. This warning came from Liam Fox warned, the International Trade Secretary, who said that the only way to be "100 per cent certain" that Britain will leave the EU is if MPs vote for the Prime Minister's withdraw agreement. Then, the news of the UK parliament members claiming a ”meaningful vote” to be able to veto post-Brexit trade deals boosted Sterling. However, in recent trade, the dollar has been firmer which sent the pound lower. 

GBP/USD levels

The outlook is neutral with RSI now back below oversold territory. However, with the price is below 1.2840, the current December high, the downside is favoured. Below 1.2477 targets the 78.6% retracement at 1.2109. On the upside, the key resistance line at 1.2911.  
 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

The selling pressure on EUR/USD is picking up pace, with the pair slipping decisively below the key 1.1800 level and sliding to fresh two week lows as Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The move lower comes as the US Dollar finds renewed strength after the latest round of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Next of note on the docket will be the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
 

GBP/USD reaches multi-day lows near 1.3500

GBP/USD reverses its initial upside momentum and is now adding to previous declines, approaching the 1.3500 region on Wednesday. Cable’s downtick comes on the back of decent gains in the Greenback and easing UK inflation figures, which seem to have reinforced the case for a BoE rate cut in March.

Gold battle to regain $5,000 continues

Gold is back on the front foot on Wednesday, shaking off part of the early week softness and challenging two-day highs near the $5,000 mark per troy ounce. The move comes ahead of the FOMC Minutes and is unfolding despite an intense rebound in the US Dollar.

Bitcoin has found or is near a bottom, extended consolidation to follow: K33

Bitcoin (BTC) is nearing or has already established a bottom, which could be followed by a sustained period of slow price movement, according to K33.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.