|

GBP/USD capped below 1.28 handle and correctes slide as dollar consolidates into year end

  • GBP/USD is offering form last-minute volatility today, rallying from the 1.2680s to a high of 1.2814 on Brexit noise.
  • GBP/USD has started to correct the slide from the 1.28 handle, recovering from a low of 1.2720 and currently trades at 1.2750. 

UK Parliament is due to return from the holidays, and there will be a vote in the Commons on PM May's and the EU's agreed withdrawal agreement and the political declaration outlining ambition for future talks. May postponed the vote until January when it became clear her deal would be rejected, leading to widespread anger in the Commons. 

A wild ride in the pound

The headlines ever since have been making for a wild ride in the pound and the price action has continued into the last trading day of the year, On one hand, we have had headlines that the odds of Britain leaving the European Union are "50-50" if parliament rejectsTheresa May's Brexit deal. This warning came from Liam Fox warned, the International Trade Secretary, who said that the only way to be "100 per cent certain" that Britain will leave the EU is if MPs vote for the Prime Minister's withdraw agreement. Then, the news of the UK parliament members claiming a ”meaningful vote” to be able to veto post-Brexit trade deals boosted Sterling. However, in recent trade, the dollar has been firmer which sent the pound lower. 

GBP/USD levels

The outlook is neutral with RSI now back below oversold territory. However, with the price is below 1.2840, the current December high, the downside is favoured. Below 1.2477 targets the 78.6% retracement at 1.2109. On the upside, the key resistance line at 1.2911.  
 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays well offered below 1.1800

The selling pressure on EUR/USD is picking up pace, with the pair slipping decisively below the key 1.1800 level and sliding to fresh two week lows as Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The move lower comes as the US Dollar finds renewed strength after the latest round of US data and the release of the FOMC Minutes. Next of note on the docket will be the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims.
 

GBP/USD extends decline as weak jobs data bolsters BoE rate cut bets

The Pound Sterling continued to backslide under sustained pressure on Wednesday, following through after the UK employment report on Tuesday showed a labour market deteriorating faster than expected. 

Gold rises above $4,950 as US-Iran tensions boost safe-haven demand

Gold price holds positive ground near $4,985 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal recovers amid shifts in geopolitical sentiment, boosting safe-haven demand. Traders will keep an eye on the release of US Initial Jobless Claims,  Pending Home Sales data, and the Fedspeak later on Thursday. 

Australia unemployment rate set to edge up within overall strong labor market

The Australian monthly employment report is scheduled for release on Thursday at 00:30 GMT, and market participants anticipate a modest increase in jobs in January. The Australian Bureau of Statistics is expected to announce that the country added 20K new jobs in the month, while the Unemployment Rate is forecast at 4.2%, up from the 4.1% posted in December.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Sui extends sideways action ahead of Grayscale’s GSUI ETF launch

Sui is extending its downtrend for the second consecutive day, trading at 0.95 at the time of writing on Wednesday. The Layer-1 token is down over 16% in February and approximately 34% from the start of the year, aligning with the overall bearish sentiment across the crypto market.