GBP/USD: BOE-led weakness – OCBC

The Pound Sterling (GBP) fell after BoE Governor Bailey unexpectedly spoke about adopting a more aggressive easing stance. Pair was last at 1.3165 levels., OCBC’s FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.  

BoE can become a ‘bit more aggressive’

“In an interview with the Guardian, he said that the BoE could become a ‘bit more aggressive’ and ‘a bit more activist’ in its approach to cutting rates if the news on inflation continued to be good.”

“This is a flip from the last MPC in Sep where policymakers emphasized the need for policy to stay restrictive for ‘sufficiently long’ and that most members saw the need for gradual approach to removing restraint. A catch-up in dovish re-pricing should continue to dampen GBP bulls until the next MPC.”

“Daily momentum turned bearish while RSI fell. Tactical bias switches to sell on rallies for now. Resistance at 1.3230 (21 DMA), 1.3430 levels. Support at 1.3080 (50 DMA), 1.30 levels.”