|

GBP/USD: Any advance is likely part of a 1.3290/1.3390 range – UOB Group

Pound Sterling (GBP) could rebound further; any advance is likely part of a 1.3290/1.3390 range. In the longer run, downward momentum has slowed somewhat, but there is still a chance for GBP to decline to 1.3200, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

Downward momentum has slowed somewhat

24-HOUR VIEW: "When GBP was at 1.3300 in the early Asian session last Friday, we indicated that it 'could continue to decline despite the oversold conditions.' However, we pointed out that 'it remains to be seen if it can reach 1.3245 today.' We added, 'any recovery is likely to hold below 1.3370.' GBP subsequently dropped to a low of 1.3261 and then rose sharply during the NY session, reaching a high of 1.3370. While GBP could rebound further today, any advance is likely part of a 1.3290/1.3390 range. In other words, EUR is unlikely to break clearly below 1.3290 or above 1.3390."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Last Friday (10 Oct, spot at 1.3300), we highlighted that the sharp decline on Thursday 'has resulted in a marked increase in downward momentum.' We also indicated that 'the next technical target is at 1.3200.' While downward momentum has slowed with the subsequent recovery, there is still a chance for GBP to decline to 1.3200. Overall, only a breach of 1.3410 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level from last Friday) would suggest that 1.3200 is out of reach."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD drops to daily lows near 1.1630

EUR/USD now loses some traction and slips back to the area of daily lows around 1.1630 on the back of a mild bounce in the US Dollar. Fresh US data, including the September PCE inflation numbers and the latest read on December consumer sentiment, didn’t really move the needle, so the pair is still on course to finish the week with a respectable gain.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold makes a U-turn, back to $4,200

Gold is now losing the grip and receding to the key $4,200 region per troy ounce following some signs of life in the Greenback and a marked bounce in US Treasury yields across the board. The positive outlook for the precious metal, however, remains underpinned by steady bets for extra easing by the Fed.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP pare gains despite increasing hopes of upcoming Fed rate cut

Bitcoin is steadying above $91,000 at the time of writing on Friday. Ethereum remains above $3,100, reflecting positive sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy meeting on December 10.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.