|

GBP: The hard yards - ING

"GBP has been performing better on the view that the British Prime Minister, Theresa May, has a new Brexit deal to put in front of cabinet colleagues – perhaps at a meeting this weekend," point out ING analysts.

Key quotes

"Any news that a Brexit summit is back on the table for late November could also give GBP a boost. Assuming Brussels does not pull the rug from under Downing Street once again, the focus will then shift onto whether Mrs May can get the deal through parliament – which has been promised a 'meaningful' vote. Its passage looks highly uncertain."

"That said, the UK economy is performing reasonably well and this week should see UK wages, inflation and retail sales all coming in on the strong side. Thus were it not for Brexit, pressure would be building for another BoE rate hike. Currently, the market struggles to see the next BoE rate rise within a year. On balance we see GBP staying reasonably bid on temporary Brexit optimism, but larger gains look to be had against the EUR rather than the USD."

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD faces next resistance near 1.1930

EUR/USD has surrendered its earlier intraday advance on Thursday and is now hovering uncomfortably around the 1.1860 region amid modest gains in the US Dolla. Moving forward, markets are exoected to closely follow Friday’s release of US CPI data.
 

GBP/USD change course, nears 1.3600

GBP/USD gives away its daily gains and recedes toward the low-1.3600s on Thursday. Indeed, Cable now struggles to regain some upside traction on the back of the sudden bout of buying interest in the Greenback. In the meantime, investors continue to assess a string of underwhelming UK data releases released earlier in the day.

Gold plunges on sudden US Dollar demand

Gold drops markedly on Thursday, challenging the $4,900 mark per troy ounce following a firm bounce in the US Dollar and amid a steep sell-off on Wall Street, with losses led by the tech and housing sectors.

Ripple collaborates with Aviva Investors to tokenize funds as XRP interest declines

Ripple (XRP) exhibits subtle recovery signs, trading slightly above $1.40 at the time of writing on Thursday, as crypto prices broadly edge higher. Despite the metered uptick, risk-off sentiment remains a concern across the crypto market, as retail and institutional interest dwindle.

A tale of two labour markets: Headline strength masks underlying weakness

Undoubtedly, yesterday’s delayed US January jobs report delivered a strong headline – one that surpassed most estimates. However, optimism quickly faded amid sobering benchmark revisions.

Aster Price Forecast: Demand sparks on Binance Wallet partnership for on-chain perpetuals

Aster is up roughly 9% so far on Thursday, hinting at the breakout of a crucial resistance level. Aster partners up with Binance wallet for the second season of the on-chain perpetuals challenge.