GBP/JPY remains sidelined around three-week high above 152.00 on cautious mood

GBP/JPY seesaws inside a choppy region near multi-day top after five-day uptrend.
Pre-NFP caution battles UK PM Johnson’s push for tax hike, booster jabs.
Brexit, covid woes also weigh on sentiment even as traders remain hopeful.
UK Services PMI join the watcher’s list but US NFP, risk catalysts are more important.

Anil Panchal FXStreet

GBP/JPY takes rounds to a 20-pips area above 152.00 during a sluggish Asian session on Friday. The pair refreshed multi-day top the previous day amid the market’s optimism for the Fed’s plans. Also favoring the quote could be the vaccine hopes in the UK.

Market players reject the Fed’s tapering concerns amid a run of downbeat early signals for today’s US jobs report. On Thursday, the Initial Jobless Claims and Continuing Claims eased from the market consensus for the week ended on August 27. The four-week average of Initial Jobless Claims also declined from 366.75K to 355K.

It’s worth mentioning that UK PM Johnson also pushed for fastening vaccine jabs for 16–17 years old, as well as confirmed plans for COVID booster jabs in September, per the Sky News.

Also favoring the bulls could be the reductions in the US hospitalizations. Alternatively, the UK covid numbers are on the spike of late with the death toll refreshing multiday high and infections rising past 38K.

It should be noted that the UK’s inability to tame the Brexit spill on the reduction of the goods exports jostles with the jump in services rendered to plot the departure fears. On the same line, China’s rush to grab the financial power of the City of London and UK PM Johnson’s push for more taxes also challenge the GBP/JPY prices.

Furthermore, worsening virus conditions in Japan and political challenges for Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga underpin the Japanese yen’s (JPY) safe-haven demand.

While portraying the mood, S&P 500 Futures remain sluggish even as the Wall Street benchmarks closed mildly positive on Thursday.

Moving on, the final reading of the UK Services PMI for August, expected to confirm 55.5 reading, as well as the Brexit, covid and vaccine headlines, will be important for GBP/JPY traders. However, the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) surpasses all and needs to be closely watched for near-term market moves.

Read: NFP Preview: How low can the dollar go? Extremely low expectations point to a greenback comeback

Technical analysis

Despite crossing 50-DMA, around 152.00, a downward sloping trend line from late May does challenge the GBP/JPY bulls near 152.40.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price	152.12
Today Daily Change	0.66
Today Daily Change %	0.44%
Today daily open	151.46

Trends
Daily SMA20	151.49
Daily SMA50	152.07
Daily SMA100	152.7
Daily SMA200	148.85

Levels
Previous Daily High	151.95
Previous Daily Low	151.26
Previous Weekly High	151.6
Previous Weekly Low	149.4
Previous Monthly High	153.32
Previous Monthly Low	149.19
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	151.69
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	151.52
Daily Pivot Point S1	151.16
Daily Pivot Point S2	150.86
Daily Pivot Point S3	150.47
Daily Pivot Point R1	151.86
Daily Pivot Point R2	152.25
Daily Pivot Point R3	152.55

Author

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

GBP/USD pops to 1.3530, multi-week tops

GBP/USD now picks up pace and retests the 1.3530 zone, or four-week highs, in quite an auspicious beginning of the week. A modest rebound in the Greenback accompanies Cable’s uptick amid persistent uncertainty lingering over the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz and US-Iran talks.

EUR/USD treads water around 1.1550

EUR/USD trades in a narrow range around 1.1550 of Monday. The pair’s inconcluisve price action comes as investors continue to assess Friday’s disappointing US jobs data in a context where renewed tensions in the Middle East lend decent support to the US Dollar.

Gold corrects from tops, holds on above $4,300

Gold recedes marginally on Monday, although it keeps the trade well above the $4,300 mark per troy ounce for now. In the meantime, the precious metal is seen closely following the Fed’s interest-rate outlook as well as developments in the Middle East.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP eye short-term recovery amid ETF inflows

Cryptocurrency prices are gaining traction on Monday, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $65,000, Ethereum (ETH) holding the near-term $1,900 support and Ripple (XRP) hovering above the critical $1.00 demand zone. The broad recovery comes amid capital inflows through US-listed Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).

US Payrolls miss – RBA on deck tomorrow

It would be remiss of me not to kick off this morning’s report with a rundown of last Friday’s US jobs report, which was a belter. Headline payrolls fell by 23,000, versus expectations of an 80,000 gain. The BLS noted that May was revised down by 66,000 (from 129,000) and June by 37,000 (from 57,000), resulting in combined May-June revisions of 103,000 lower than previous reports.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.