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GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Tumbles to weekly lows, eyes on 197.00

  • GBP/JPY hovers just above August swing low at 197.86, a key level for bearish continuation toward 197.76, the 100-day SMA.
  • Break below 197.70 could trigger deeper slide toward 197.00 and 196.00, before the 200-day SMA at 194.80.
  • Buyers need recovery above 198.98 and 199.65 SMAs to regain control and attempt a move back toward 200.00.

The GBP/JPY registered three consecutive bearish days so far in the week and opens Thursday’s Asian session near the current weekly low of 197.92. At the time of writing, the cross-pair trades at 198.19, virtually unchanged.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bears in charge target the 200-day SMA

The GBP/JPY technical picture indicates the pair is testing the last swing low of 197.86, August 20, which if broken it could open the door to challenge the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 197.70, followed by the 200-day SMA at 194.80. Nevertheless, on its way south, the sellers must clear key support levels.

If the 100-day SMA is taken, the GBP/JPY next support would be 197.00, followed by the 196 mark ahead of the 200-day SMA.

Conversely, if buyers stepped in and drive the exchange rate above the 50-day SMA at 198.98, then a move above 199.00 is on the cards. On further strength, the next resistance would be the 20-day SMA at 199.65 ahead of the 200.00 figure.

GBP/JPY Price Chart – Daily

GBP/JPY daily chart

Pound Sterling Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies this week. British Pound was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.27%-0.63%-1.63%0.00%-0.97%-0.53%-0.10%
EUR0.27%-0.36%-1.52%0.27%-0.70%-0.27%0.16%
GBP0.63%0.36%-1.07%0.64%-0.40%0.09%0.53%
JPY1.63%1.52%1.07%1.71%0.73%1.00%1.62%
CAD-0.01%-0.27%-0.64%-1.71%-0.93%-0.54%-0.12%
AUD0.97%0.70%0.40%-0.73%0.93%0.44%0.87%
NZD0.53%0.27%-0.09%-1.00%0.54%-0.44%0.58%
CHF0.10%-0.16%-0.53%-1.62%0.12%-0.87%-0.58%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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