|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Tumbles to weekly lows, eyes on 197.00

  • GBP/JPY hovers just above August swing low at 197.86, a key level for bearish continuation toward 197.76, the 100-day SMA.
  • Break below 197.70 could trigger deeper slide toward 197.00 and 196.00, before the 200-day SMA at 194.80.
  • Buyers need recovery above 198.98 and 199.65 SMAs to regain control and attempt a move back toward 200.00.

The GBP/JPY registered three consecutive bearish days so far in the week and opens Thursday’s Asian session near the current weekly low of 197.92. At the time of writing, the cross-pair trades at 198.19, virtually unchanged.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Bears in charge target the 200-day SMA

The GBP/JPY technical picture indicates the pair is testing the last swing low of 197.86, August 20, which if broken it could open the door to challenge the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 197.70, followed by the 200-day SMA at 194.80. Nevertheless, on its way south, the sellers must clear key support levels.

If the 100-day SMA is taken, the GBP/JPY next support would be 197.00, followed by the 196 mark ahead of the 200-day SMA.

Conversely, if buyers stepped in and drive the exchange rate above the 50-day SMA at 198.98, then a move above 199.00 is on the cards. On further strength, the next resistance would be the 20-day SMA at 199.65 ahead of the 200.00 figure.

GBP/JPY Price Chart – Daily

GBP/JPY daily chart

Pound Sterling Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies this week. British Pound was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.27%-0.63%-1.63%0.00%-0.97%-0.53%-0.10%
EUR0.27%-0.36%-1.52%0.27%-0.70%-0.27%0.16%
GBP0.63%0.36%-1.07%0.64%-0.40%0.09%0.53%
JPY1.63%1.52%1.07%1.71%0.73%1.00%1.62%
CAD-0.01%-0.27%-0.64%-1.71%-0.93%-0.54%-0.12%
AUD0.97%0.70%0.40%-0.73%0.93%0.44%0.87%
NZD0.53%0.27%-0.09%-1.00%0.54%-0.44%0.58%
CHF0.10%-0.16%-0.53%-1.62%0.12%-0.87%-0.58%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases marginally, back to 1.1800

EUR/USD navigates a narrow range on Thursday, hovering around the 1.1800 neighbourhood in a context of humble gains in the US Dollar. The pair’s lacklustre performance come amid the unabated trade uncertainty, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the cautious tone from the ECB’s Lagarde.

GBP/USD retreats from tops, approaching 1.3540

GBP/USD partially sets aside Wednesday’s strong advance and recedes to the 1.3540 region on Thursday. Cable’s modest retracement follows the equally acceptable gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold clings to gains just below $5,200, focus on geopolitics

Gold is edging modestly higher on Thursday, adding to Wednesday’s uptick and holding just below the $5,200 mark per troy ounce against the backdrop of modest gains in the US Dollar. In the meantime, attention is turning to the geopolitical scenario following US-Iran nuclear talks.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.