|

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Giving signs of topping below 200.00

  • The Pound is under growing pressure against the Yen, amid risk-off markets and a hawkish BoJ.
  • The Recent lower highs and a potential double top suggest that the pair might have hit a top at 200.20.
  • GBP/JPY is forming a triangle pattern.

The British Pound is showing signs of topping after having reached one-year highs, right above the 200.00 round level against the Japanese Yen. Technical indicators turning lower and a succession of lower highs in the last few days are giving fresh hope for bears.

The fundamental background is also Yen-supportive. A risk-averse mod on Tuesday amid the war between Trump and the Federal Reserve is supporting the safe-haven Yen, already buoyed by the hawkish comments by BoJ Governour Ueda at the Jackson Hole meeting last week.

GBP/JPY is forming a triangle pattern below 200.20

GBP/JPY Chart

Price action has been showing a sequence of higher highs and higher lows over the last week, forming a triangle pattern. This is often a continuation figure, but the weakening momentum and a potential double top at the mentioned 200.20 level suggest the possibility of a deeper correction.

Immediate support is at the triangle's bottom, at 198.35, broadly coincident with the August 22 low. Further down, the targets are the August 20 low, at 197.85, and the intra-day level, at 197.40.

To the upside, the pair should break the triangle top, at 199.10, and the August 22 high, at the 199.50 area, to ease bearish pressure and shift the focus towards the 200.00-200.20 resistance area.

Japanese Yen Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD0.02%-0.10%-0.27%-0.01%0.03%0.11%0.20%
EUR-0.02%-0.05%-0.17%-0.02%0.06%0.33%0.21%
GBP0.10%0.05%-0.12%0.05%0.16%0.38%0.25%
JPY0.27%0.17%0.12%0.18%0.17%0.53%0.25%
CAD0.00%0.02%-0.05%-0.18%0.05%0.33%0.07%
AUD-0.03%-0.06%-0.16%-0.17%-0.05%0.08%0.00%
NZD-0.11%-0.33%-0.38%-0.53%-0.33%-0.08%-0.12%
CHF-0.20%-0.21%-0.25%-0.25%-0.07%0.00%0.12%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Guillermo Alcala

Graduated in Communication Sciences at the Universidad del Pais Vasco and Universiteit van Amsterdam, Guillermo has been working as financial news editor and copywriter in diverse Forex-related firms, like FXStreet and Kantox.

More from Guillermo Alcala
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 on fresh USD supply

AUD/USD bounces back toward 0.6950 in the Asian session on Friday. The US Dollar retreats from 17-month highs as traders take profits off the table ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. Meanwhile, the Australian Dollar draws support from reviving expectations of a November interest rate hike amid elevated global yields and inflation risks.


USD/JPY struggles near 158.00 as USD retreats ahead of NFP

USD/JPY is struggling for fresh impetus near 158.00, moving away from the top end of its weekly range in the Asian session on Friday, after hotter-than-expected Tokyo CPI and amid a broad US Dollar retreat. Traders reposition themselves ahead of US Nonfarm Payrolls.

Gold fades the earlier optimism; back below $4,200

Gold could not sustain the post-NFP bull run past the $4,200 mark per troy ounce, receding toward the $4,180 region at the end of the week. The precious metal’s inconclusive price action comes amid fresh selling pressure hurting the US Dollar as investors assess the latest NFP data.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP gains reinforce bullish outlook

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly recovering on Friday, led by Bitcoin moving above $86,000. Ethereum has reaffirmed its bullish outlook, rising above $2,700 while the immediate area at $2,800 caps upside. Meanwhile, Ripple hovers near $1.54.

Week ahead – Fed minutes in the spotlight amid bond market rout

Energy crisis and soaring bond yields to stay in driver’s seat in quiet week. Fed minutes eyed after drop in October rate hike bets. ISM services PMI and Treasury auctions to be watched too. Canadian employment, Japanese wages and ECB minutes also on tap.

The Euro is near a one-year low: Inflation could trigger its rebound, not its fall

EUR/USD has fallen to its lowest level since May 2025. The pair hit 1.1312 on Wednesday and trades well below the January peak of 1.2082. The decline reflects a powerful combination of US Dollar strength, geopolitical uncertainty and renewed concerns about Europe's exposure to higher energy prices.