|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Finds interim support near 181.00 while broader bias still weak

  • GBP/JPY finds an intermediate support near 181.00 while the downside seems favored.
  • Fears of a stealth intervention by the BoJ in the FX domain to defend the falling Japanese Yen may keep the asset under pressure.
  • GBP/JPY drops after testing the breakdown region of the Symmetrical Triangle pattern.

The GBP/JPY pair discovers some buying interest near 181.00 after remaining under selling pressure from the past few trading sessions. The asset may continue its downside trend the policy divergence between the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would not widen further on expectations that the former is done with hiking interest rates.

The BoE announced a steady interest rate decision last week as higher interest rates are threatening the economic outlook. The United Kingdom’s labor market has lost its resilience as the jobless rate is rising moderately and fresh demand for labor has eased.

Meanwhile, fears of a stealth intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in the FX domain to defend further downside in the Japanese Yen may keep the asset under pressure.

This week, investors will focus on the UK’s April-June quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will be published on Friday. UK’s GDP is foreseen to expand at a steady pace of 0.2% and 0.4% respectively.

GBP/JPY drops after testing the breakdown region of the Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale. A breakdown of the aforementioned chart pattern results in wider ticks on the downside and heavy selling volume. The asset is trading below the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which indicates that the broader trend is bearish.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) shifts into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that the bearish impulse is active.

Going forward, a breakdown below September 21 low at 180.82 would drag the asset further toward July 20 low at 179.74 and July 26 low at 176.32.

On the flip side, a recovery move above September 19 high at 183.50 would drive the asset toward September 5 high at 185.75, followed by August 22 high at 186.77.

GBP/JPY two-hour chart

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price181.09
Today Daily Change-0.19
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open181.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA20183.52
Daily SMA50183.28
Daily SMA100180.29
Daily SMA200171.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High181.87
Previous Daily Low181.05
Previous Weekly High183.49
Previous Weekly Low180.82
Previous Monthly High186.77
Previous Monthly Low180.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%181.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%181.56
Daily Pivot Point S1180.93
Daily Pivot Point S2180.58
Daily Pivot Point S3180.11
Daily Pivot Point R1181.75
Daily Pivot Point R2182.22
Daily Pivot Point R3182.57

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

When is the UK labor market report and how could it affect GBP/USD?

The UK Office for National Statistics will publish its labor market report at 07.00 GMT. GBP/USD trades in negative territory on the day in the lead up to the UK labor market data. The pair loses ground as traders turn cautious ahead of the key US economic data, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales, and Purchasing Managers Index, which will be released later on Tuesday.

Gold bulls move to the sidelines ahead of delayed US NFP report

Gold attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Tuesday and extends the overnight pullback from the $4,350 region, or the vicinity of the highest level since October 21, touched last week. The intraday downtick comes amid optimism over the Russia-Ukraine peace deal, which is seen undermining demand for the traditional safe-haven commodity. 

Sui Price Forecast: Sui slips below $1.50 as network demand and risk appetite wane

Sui remains under intense bearish pressure, extending losses by 1% at press time on Tuesday for the third straight day.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.