|

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Finds interim support near 181.00 while broader bias still weak

  • GBP/JPY finds an intermediate support near 181.00 while the downside seems favored.
  • Fears of a stealth intervention by the BoJ in the FX domain to defend the falling Japanese Yen may keep the asset under pressure.
  • GBP/JPY drops after testing the breakdown region of the Symmetrical Triangle pattern.

The GBP/JPY pair discovers some buying interest near 181.00 after remaining under selling pressure from the past few trading sessions. The asset may continue its downside trend the policy divergence between the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) would not widen further on expectations that the former is done with hiking interest rates.

The BoE announced a steady interest rate decision last week as higher interest rates are threatening the economic outlook. The United Kingdom’s labor market has lost its resilience as the jobless rate is rising moderately and fresh demand for labor has eased.

Meanwhile, fears of a stealth intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) in the FX domain to defend further downside in the Japanese Yen may keep the asset under pressure.

This week, investors will focus on the UK’s April-June quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data, which will be published on Friday. UK’s GDP is foreseen to expand at a steady pace of 0.2% and 0.4% respectively.

GBP/JPY drops after testing the breakdown region of the Symmetrical Triangle chart pattern formed on a two-hour scale. A breakdown of the aforementioned chart pattern results in wider ticks on the downside and heavy selling volume. The asset is trading below the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which indicates that the broader trend is bearish.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) shifts into the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates that the bearish impulse is active.

Going forward, a breakdown below September 21 low at 180.82 would drag the asset further toward July 20 low at 179.74 and July 26 low at 176.32.

On the flip side, a recovery move above September 19 high at 183.50 would drive the asset toward September 5 high at 185.75, followed by August 22 high at 186.77.

GBP/JPY two-hour chart

GBP/JPY

Overview
Today last price181.09
Today Daily Change-0.19
Today Daily Change %-0.10
Today daily open181.28
 
Trends
Daily SMA20183.52
Daily SMA50183.28
Daily SMA100180.29
Daily SMA200171.41
 
Levels
Previous Daily High181.87
Previous Daily Low181.05
Previous Weekly High183.49
Previous Weekly Low180.82
Previous Monthly High186.77
Previous Monthly Low180.46
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%181.37
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%181.56
Daily Pivot Point S1180.93
Daily Pivot Point S2180.58
Daily Pivot Point S3180.11
Daily Pivot Point R1181.75
Daily Pivot Point R2182.22
Daily Pivot Point R3182.57

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds losses below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot below 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand and reports that ECB President Lagarde will step down before the end of her term. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts. 

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report. 

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path. 

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.