|

GBP/JPY drops to 161.50 on sluggish yields, BOJ chatters

  • GBP/JPY takes offers to refresh intraday low, down for the second consecutive day.
  • Market sentiment improves on mixed US data, China stimulus.
  • Cautious optimism of Japan government, challenges for BOJ’s easy money policy seem to underpin JPY strength of late.
  • A light calendar keeps risk catalysts in the driver’s seat, Jackson Hole in focus.

GBP/JPY drops for the second consecutive day as bears attack 161.50 during Thursday’s Asian session. The cross-currency pair’s latest weakness could be linked to the sluggish US Treasury yields and risk-positive headlines from China and Japan.

That said, the US 10-year Treasury yields rose the most in a week the previous day while refreshing a two-month high to around 3.10%. However, mixed concerns seem to have probed the US bond sellers of late.

Elsewhere, Bloomberg came out with the news suggesting that China’s Cabinet, State Council, outlined a 19-point policy package on Wednesday while announcing economic stimulus measures worth CNY1 trillion ($146 billion) to stimulate growth affected by covid lockdowns and property market crisis.

On the other hand, the Japanese government’s monthly economic report kept the view that its economy is "moderately picking up" pace while raising the outlook for factory output. Earlier in the day, a Reuters poll mentioned,” If Prime Minister Fumio Kishida finds inflation well above target too painful for households and businesses, he could still put the central bank under pressure.”

It should be noted that the political uncertainty in the UK and chatters that the latest inflation fears could push the Bank of Japan (BOJ) towards higher rates also seem to have exerted downside pressure on the GBP/JPY prices of late. Even so, Bank of Japan (BOJ) board member Nakamura recently stated that BOJ must patiently maintain powerful monetary easing.

Moving on, a light calendar keeps the market’s focus on the Jackson Hole Symposium. Though, headlines from China and Japan, not to forget news over the UK politics and Brexit, may also entertain GBP/JPY traders.

Technical analysis

Unless bouncing back beyond the previous support line from early March, around 163.00 by the press time, GBP/JPY remains on the back foot and can approach the 200-SMA support surrounding 159.00.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price161.54
Today Daily Change-0.26
Today Daily Change %-0.16%
Today daily open161.8
 
Trends
Daily SMA20162.24
Daily SMA50163.7
Daily SMA100163.12
Daily SMA200159.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High161.94
Previous Daily Low160.84
Previous Weekly High163.57
Previous Weekly Low160.09
Previous Monthly High166.34
Previous Monthly Low160.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%161.26
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%161.52
Daily Pivot Point S1161.12
Daily Pivot Point S2160.43
Daily Pivot Point S3160.02
Daily Pivot Point R1162.22
Daily Pivot Point R2162.63
Daily Pivot Point R3163.31

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hovers around 1.3450 amid renewed Mideast tensions

GBP/USD remains defensive around 1.3450 in the European session on Friday, undermined by a broadly resilient US Dollar. The Middle East uncertainty is back in play, keeping the haven demand for the Greenback intact ahead of the all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data release.

EUR/USD flatlines above 1.1500 ahead of US NFP

EUR/USD keeps its range above 1.1500 in European trading on Friday, as the US Dollar consolidates the recent recovery, following renewed tensions in the Middle East and on the Strait of Hormuz reopening. Traders now eagerly await the July US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for a clear directional impetus.

How Wall Street rigs the game [Video]

In this week’s Live from the Vault, Andrew Maguire is joined by Peter Antico and Sean Stone to discuss the Paradigm of Money - an in-depth expose of financial market corruption, from naked shorting to the two-tier system that protects Wall Street.

US Senate delays Clarity Act vote – Cardano and LayerZero lead gains

Bitcoin price holds steady above $64,000 with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average at $64,637 capping gains. The US Senate has delayed the floor vote for the Crypto Clarity Act after the summer recess, starting Monday. Cardano and LayerZero hold gains from the previous day's rebound, outperforming top altcoins over the last 24 hours.

July’s US employment report to shake the markets
USD edged higher yesterday, as media reports pointed towards a potential rate hike by the Fed in September. Today, we focus on the release of July’s US employment report. The NFP figure is expected to rise, and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged.
9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?
The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.