|

GBP/JPY: Bulls attack 152.00 on Japan’s return from holidays, BOE eyed

  • GBP/JPY refreshes intraday top while rising for third day in the week.
  • BOJ Minutes couldn’t offer clear directions but Nikkei jumps 1.0% on week-start trading.
  • Bulls stay hopeful ahead of BOE Super Thursday amid UK’s recently strong fundamentals.
  • Japan looks set to extend the covid-led state of emergency in the key prefectures on Friday.

GBP/JPY jumps over 15 pips to refresh the day’s top with 152.04 level as Tokyo resumes trading for the first time since last Friday. Although Japanese traders begin the week on a positive footing, mixed clues from the Bank of Japan (BOJ) monetary policy meeting minutes fail to entertain markets.

As per the BOJ Minutes of the Monetary Policy Meeting on March 18 and 19, 2021, “Members agreed that Yield Curve Control (YCC) was exerting intended policy effect.” The minutes portray indecision among the policymakers while backing the easy money moves amid the pandemic resurgence.

Read: BoJ Minutes: Must scrutinise financial system developments

It should, however, be noted that the Nikkei 225’s 1.0% jump, up 1.21% near 29,157.70 by the press time, might have followed the market optimisms on the back of easing reflation fears. Also, hopes of further stimulus from the US and Japan could back the bulls from Asian major as well.

Elsewhere, the Fed policymakers kept rejecting the need for policy normalization and considered the recent jump in inflation pressure as temporary. While justifying their analysis were the soft US data and downbeat yields.

It’s worth mentioning that the Japanese government is mostly certain to extend the COVID-19 state of emergency currently in effect in Tokyo and several western Japan prefectures beyond its May 11 end date, with a final decision to be made on Friday, per Kyodo News. Also challenging the mood could be the global ire over China during the Group of Seven (G7) ministerial meeting.

Amid these plays, US 10-year Treasury yields seesaw near 1.58% while S&P 500 Futures also struggle for fresh clues after Wall Street benchmarks closed mixed despite Dow Jones’ run-up to a fresh record top.

Moving on, GBP/JPY will have an active day ahead as the Bank of England (BOE) will publish its Quarterly Inflation Report while likely to stand pat on the current monetary policy. However, the recent strength in British fundamentals and unlock optimism can back the bulls.

Read: Bank of England Preview: Three reasons why Super Thursday could become a sterling suffer-fest

Technical analysis

Unless breaking a two-week-old ascending trend line near 151.50, GBP/JPY buyers may keep their eyes on post-152.00 area.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price152.01
Today Daily Change0.15
Today Daily Change %0.10%
Today daily open151.86
 
Trends
Daily SMA20150.73
Daily SMA50150.8
Daily SMA100146.75
Daily SMA200142.3
 
Levels
Previous Daily High152.24
Previous Daily Low151.76
Previous Weekly High152.41
Previous Weekly Low149.54
Previous Monthly High153.42
Previous Monthly Low149.06
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%151.94
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%152.05
Daily Pivot Point S1151.66
Daily Pivot Point S2151.47
Daily Pivot Point S3151.18
Daily Pivot Point R1152.15
Daily Pivot Point R2152.43
Daily Pivot Point R3152.63

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD rebounds after falling toward 1.1700

EUR/USD gains traction and trades above 1.1730 in the American session, looking to end the week virtually unchanged. The bullish opening in Wall Street makes it difficult for the US Dollar to preserve its recovery momentum and helps the pair rebound heading into the weekend.

GBP/USD steadies below 1.3400 as traders assess BoE policy outlook

Following Thursday's volatile session, GBP/USD moves sideways below 1.3400 on Friday. Investors reassess the Bank of England's policy oıtlook after the MPC decided to cut the interest rate by 25 bps by a slim margin. Meanwhile, the improving risk mood helps the pair hold its ground.

Gold stays below $4,350, looks to post small weekly gains

Gold struggles to gather recovery momentum and stays below $4,350 in the second half of the day on Friday, as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges higher. Nevertheless, the precious metal remains on track to end the week with modest gains as markets gear up for the holiday season.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP rebound amid bearish market conditions

Bitcoin (BTC) is edging higher, trading above $88,000 at the time of writing on Monday. Altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP), are following in BTC’s footsteps, experiencing relief rebounds following a volatile week.

How much can one month of soft inflation change the Fed’s mind?

One month of softer inflation data is rarely enough to shift Federal Reserve policy on its own, but in a market highly sensitive to every data point, even a single reading can reshape expectations. November’s inflation report offered a welcome sign of cooling price pressures. 

XRP rebounds amid ETF inflows and declining retail demand demand

XRP rebounds as bulls target a short-term breakout above $2.00 on Friday. XRP ETFs record the highest inflow since December 8, signaling growing institutional appetite.