|

FX Today: US inflation steps in

The US Dollar (USD) lost some of its shine on Monday, weighed down by renewed concerns over the Fed’s independence as investors seem to have started to pencil in a (more?) dovish Fed in the upcoming months. Prudence among market participants also kicked in ahead of the release of the key US CPI on Tuesday.

Here’s what to watch on Tuesday, January 13:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) came under fresh selling pressure, leaving behind four consecutive days of gains and briefly slipping back to the 98.70 region. The Inflation Rate will take centre stage, seconded by the NFIB Business Optimism Index, the ADP Employment Change Weekly, New Home Sales, and the RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index. In addition, the Fed’s Williams, Musalem and Barkin are due to speak.

EUR/USD found some respite from its recent steep retracement, advancing to the boundaries of the 1.1700 barrier. Next on tap on the domestic calendar will be the German Full Year GDP Growth, followed by Industrial Production and the Balance of Trade in the broader Euroland, all due on January 15.

GBP/USD rose sharply largely in response to the renewed weakness hurting the Greenback, refocusing its attention on the 1.3500 level. The BRC Retail Sales Monitor is due next across the Channel.

USD/JPY extended its leg higher, once again surpassing the 158.00 hurdle amid the widespread improvement in the risk complex. The Current Account results will be released alongside Bank Lending figures and the Eco Watchers Survey.

AUD/USD set aside part of its recent weakness, managing to reclaim the key 0.6700 barrier. The Westpac Consumer Confidence Index will be next on tap in Oz.

WTI prices traded on the positive foot at the beginning of the week amid jitters over potential supply disruptions in Iran while traders continued to evaluate developments from Venezuela.

Gold prices advanced for the third day in a row on Monday, reaching at the same time an all-time top around $4,630 per troy ounce. The move higher in the precious metal came on the back of renewed selling pressure on the Greenback and the pick-up in geopolitical effervescence in the Middle East. Silver prices followed suit, advancing past the $85.00 mark per ounce for the first time in history.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD sticks to positive bias above 0.7100; lacks bullish conviction

AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the second straight day, holding above 0.7100 in the Asian session on Friday as softer US bond yields keep US Dollar bulls on the back foot. Furthermore, hawkish RBA Governor Bullock's comments boost rate hike bets and support the Aussie. However, the Fed's hawkish outlook, along with geopolitical uncertainties, limits USD losses and caps the pair.

USD/JPY approaches 158.00 as Japanese Yen resumes decline

USD/JPY is resuming its upside in the European session on Friday, refreshing two-week highs and nearing 158.00. The Japanese Yen extends losses, despite the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) expected rate hike to 1.25% and hawkish Governor Ueda's comments, as two surprise dissents against the rate hike weigh on it.

Gold keeps the bid tone in place; still below $4,400

Gold adds to the optimism seen in the second half of the week, trading with decent gains just below the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday. The precious metal’s advance finds traction in declining crude oil prices and fresh selling pressure on the US Dollar.

Why altcoin season isn't coming back — and what stole its capital
If, after two years of being frozen in ice, Katara and Sokka woke you up to the crypto market, it would seem like 100 years have passed. With Bitcoin soaring to record highs just over a year ago, everyone expected a routine altcoin season, where investors take profits from the top crypto to chase higher returns in altcoins.
BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The BoJ raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks. Governor Kazuo Ueda said the policy phase had changed.

BoJ Recap: Not as hawkish as expected

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) raised its short-term interest-rate target to 1.25% from 1.00% in a 7-2 vote, marking another step in the normalisation of monetary policy and widely matching what everyone has been expecting for weeks.