|

Forex Today: Will King Dollar be re-coronated after the plunge? Virus, consumer data, eyed

Here is what you need to know on Friday, March 27:

The US dollar remains on the back foot after plunging on Thursday alongside the third consecutive rise in stocks, yet S&P futures are pointing to a downside correction. Investors are cheering the Federal Reserve's unlimited Quantitative Easing program announced early this week, backed up by Chair Jerome Powell's commitment to supporting the economy. He said the Fed would "not run out of ammunition." 

The Fed's previous efforts to ease the distressed demand for the dollar are bearing fruit as well. Another factor is the Senate's  $2 trillion fiscal package which will likely be approved by the House later on Friday. T

US jobless claims leaped to 3.283 million, an increase of 1,053% and far above expectations, as companies let workers go, temporarily or permanently. The devastating figure seemed to add pressure on the dollar but did not deter the market.

See:

GBP/USD was one of the primary beneficiaries of the dollar's sell-off, rising above 1.22 after trading at the 1.14 handle earlier in the week. The Bank of England left its policy unchanged in its third rate decision this month and after slashing rates and expanding its QE program. Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak unveiled a plan to support almost all those who are self-employed.

While the Australian and New Zealand dollars also surged against the greenback, the Canadian dollar lagged as oil prices remain under pressure. See Oil trading is not for the faint of heart

Coronavirus continues spreading around the world, with over 530,000 infected and more than 24,000 deaths. The US has surpassed China with the number of cases with yet another surge in New York state. Italy and Spain have seen some stabilization in mortalities, yet hospitals in these countries are overwhelmed, and the number of cases remains elevated. Additional figures will be followed by markets. Data from these Spain early in the day, New York, and finally Italy, are all set to rock markets.

EU leaders are split on the need for common bonds, dubbed "corona-bonds" as Germany remains opposed to sharing debt, opposing demands from France, Italy, and Spain. Negotiations are set to continue. The European Central Bank continues buying bonds, easing its capital key rules, and ready to dust off the Outright Monetary Transmissions (OMT) program from 2012. EUR/USD has also gained, trading well above 1.10. 

Chinese Industrial Profits year-to-date through February are down 38.3% yearly, the worst on record. 

The University of Michigan's final Consumer Sentiment measure for March may show a downgrade, reflecting shoppers' concerns. See Consumer Sentiment Preview: Outlook equals consumption

Gold has been consolidating its gains trading above $1,600 but below the highs. 

Cryptocurrencies are holding up in familiar ranges, with Bitcoin trading around $6,600. 

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold losses momentum, challenges $4,300

Gold now gives away some gains and disputes the key $4,300 zone per troy ounce following earlier multi-week highs. The move is being driven by expectations that the Fed will deliver further rate cuts next year, with the yellow metal climbing despite a firmer Greenback and rising US Treasury yields across the board.

Litecoin Price Forecast: LTC struggles to extend gains, bullish bets at risk

Litecoin (LTC) price steadies above $80 at press time on Friday, following a reversal from the $87 resistance level on Wednesday. Derivatives data suggests a bullish positional buildup while the LTC futures Open Interest declines, flashing a long squeeze risk.

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.