|

Forex Today: US GDP, employment data and Fedspeak next on tap

The US Dollar (USD) maintained its bullish bias unchanged for the second day in a row on Wednesday amid steady optimism on the trade front, while a cautious tone from the FOMC Minutes also collaborated with the daily advance.

Here’s what to watch on Thursday, May 29:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) added to Tuesday’s recovery, retargeting the psychological 100.00 barrier amid mixed developments from US yields across the board. The second estimate of Q1 GDP Growth Rate takes centre stage, seconded by the weely Initial Jobless Claims, Pending Home Sales, and the EIA’s weekly report on US crude oil stockpiles. In addition, the Fed’s Barkin, Goolsbee, and Daly are all due to speak.

The intense rebound in the Greenback put the EUR/USD under extra downside pressure, testing the 1.1300 support. Next of note on the domestic calendar will be Germany’s Retail Sales and the preliminary Inflation Rate, all expected on May 30.

GBP/USD receded to three-day lows, breaking below the 1.3500 contention zone to retest the mid-1.3400s amid the generalised offered stance in the risk-associated space. The next data releases across the Channel will be on June 2, when Mortgage Approvals/Lending are scheduled along with the final S&P Global Manufacturing PMI and Nationwide Housing Prices.

Extra weakness in the Japanese currency lifted USD/JPY to multi-day peaks near the 145.00 hurdle. The weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures will be the only release on the Japanese docket.

AUD/USD built on weekly losses and came close to the key support around the 0.6400 mark, down for the third straight day. The key Private Capital Expenditure reading is due in Oz.

The resumption of supply concerns lent support to crude oil and prompted the barrel of WTI to reverse part of the recent weakness and briefly retest the $62.00 mark on Wednesday. Traders, in the meantime, have largely priced in the OPEC+ decision to hike oil output.

Gold prices alternated gains with losses around the $3,300 region per troy ounce following alleviating concerns on the trade front and steady geopolitical effervescence. Silver prices added to Tuesday’s retracement, challenging once again the $33.00 zone per ounce.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD edges higher as hot CPI inflation and hawkish RBA lift rate hike bets

The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7035 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar edges higher against the US Dollar as hotter Australian CPI inflation data has bolstered expectations of Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes.

USD/JPY meets support near 157.00

USD/JPY retreats for the third consecutive day on Friday, revisiting the 157.00 region before attempting some recovery as investors continue to assess the latest BoJ meeting, where the central bank left rates unchanged, as widely anticipated.

Gold sinks to fresh yearly lows despite risk-off mood as Fed rate hike bets weigh

Gold slips to fresh year-to-date lows on Friday. The metal struggles despite a risk-off mood across markets, as expectations of further Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hikes continue to dominate price action, leaving Gold on track to end the month in negative territory.


Ripple Price Forecast: XRP bulls defend $1.20 as sell-side pressure triggers liquidations
Ripple (XRP) trades around $1.25 on Friday, rising from a short-term support level established at $1.20. This minor upward correction follows a sharp sell-off, triggered amid reports of a hack attack on the Binance exchange that impacted approximately $6.3 billion. The attack drove the broader crypto market on edge, as Binance suspended both deposits and withdrawals to contain the situation.
BoJ recap: A pause for now... but Japan has entered a new inflation phase
The Bank of Japan left its short-term policy rate unchanged at 1.25% but delivered a distinctly hawkish message on the risk of an inflation overshoot. The decision passed by 8-1, with board member Takata dissenting in favour of an increase to 1.5%, while Governor Kazuo Ueda stressed that the Bank would continue adjusting policy as needed.
The 2% inflation target came from a throwaway remark. It now moves trillions
The Federal Reserve's 2% inflation goal grew out of an off-the-cuff remark by a New Zealand politician in 1988. Bond investors still price long-term US debt as if 2% holds, so a change in how the Fed measures inflation would move markets.