|

Forex Today: Markets doubt US-Sino progress, Powell sees glass filling, GBP/USD spooked by poll

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, November 26:

Trade: China's Xinhua and Global Times have reported that Sino-American negotiators have reached a consensus about a deal that includes a rollback of tariffs, albeit both sides have differences in the duties. Both sides have spoken on the phone and agreed to remain in contact. While stock futures are higher, currencies are little-changed, with only a modest rise in 109.

Fed: Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Federal Reserve, has expressed optimism about the US and economy and satisfaction from the current monetary policy. The "glass is more than half full."

The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence gauge for November is set to show improvement as the shopping season kicks off. Housing prices and the US Goods Trade Balance are also of interest. See Consumer Confidence Preview: Rising confidence supports the economy

GBP/USD's advance stalled after one opinion poll showed a narrowing of the gap between the Conservatives and Labour to only 7%. Another survey published on the weekend printed a whopping 19% difference. The elections are held on December 12.

AUD/USD is awaiting a speech from Phillip Lowe, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia, on the topic of Quantitative Easing.

NZD/USD is holding onto gains made late on Monday third-quarter Retail Sales in New Zealand jumped by 1.6%, better than expected. 

Gold is consolidating above $1,450 and oil prices are hovering around $58.

Prices of cryptocurrencies have recovered after the sell-off, with Bitcoin settling above $7,200.

More Dollar Bulls - 3 Things to Be Thankful for

Author

Yohay Elam

Yohay Elam

FXStreet

Yohay is in Forex since 2008 when he founded Forex Crunch, a blog crafted in his free time that turned into a fully-fledged currency website later sold to Finixio.

More from Yohay Elam
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD appears well offered near 1.3160

GBP/USD builds on Tuesday’s losses, although it now manages to pick up some pace and bounce off earlier multi-month troughs near 1.3140. The Greenback’s solid performance and continued political turmoil in the UK are keeping Cable under persistent pressure, with little sign of a meaningful recovery.

EUR/USD softens to near 1.1350 as Fed hike bets rise ahead of PCE inflation data

The EUR/USD pair declines to around 1.1355 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The Euro weakens to its lowest level since June 2025 against the US Dollar as traders increase their bets on US interest rate hikes later this year. The US May Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation data will be the highlight on Thursday. 

Gold struggles near YTD lows on hawkish Fed bets, bullish USD ahead of US PCE

Gold is seen consolidating around $4,000 during the Asian session on Thursday as bears pause following the overnight slump to the lowest level since November 2025. Despite easing inflationary concerns amid falling oil prices, elevated Fed rate-hike bets help the US Dollar preserve its recent strong gains to the highest level since May 2025. This might continue to undermine the non-yielding bullion as the focus shifts to the release of the US PCE Price Index.

Strategy MSTR shares drop to two-year low as Bitcoin dip below $60K

The common shares of Strategy fell below $100 on Wednesday for the first time since March 2024, extending losses as Bitcoin's prolonged decline continues to weigh on investor perceptions of the company's leveraged crypto strategy. The company's MSTR stock closed trading at $94, reflecting a 9.3% decline.

US-Iran talks: The next 60 days will decide where Oil prices go next
Oil markets received some encouraging news after weeks of rising tensions in the Middle East. But let’s not get ahead of ourselves: we’re far from victory, and markets just seem to have priced out the worst-case scenario. The US and Iran have reportedly made "substantive progress" in talks in Switzerland and agreed on a framework for working toward a broader deal within 60 days.
Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.