|

Forex Today: Dollar has no reasons to recover, for now

Here is what you need to know on Monday, July 6:

 A holiday in the US kept majors lifeless on Friday, exacerbating the previous range trading. The greenback finished the week with a soft tone, weighed by concerns about the future of the economy as coronavirus cases continue to rise, particularly in the Southern states. The dollar maintained its week tone across the board.

Coronavirus expansion remains as the primary market concern. The US has reported over 57,000 new cases in just one day by the end of the week, with the epicentre in the Southern States. The number of new contagions eased during the weekend, but the country is still reporting over 45,000 new cases per day. The total number of new contagions worldwide on Saturday reached roughly 189,600, while there are over 4.4 million active cases reported globally.  Progress in vaccines continues to be to slow for the market to shift its focus to economic recoveries.

On Saturday, ECB President Christine Lagarde said that the EU would likely face two years of downward pressure on prices, amid a transformation of the economy as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. Lagarde said that the economy is facing a transition period to new economic models, with greater digitization and automation, affecting employment and production. In the meantime, the central bank will need to keep its monetary policy exceptionally loose.

After Brexit talks ended earlier than anticipated on Thursday amid serious divergences between both parts, the EU and the UK committed to another round of talks this week in London. There are three main issues that remain unsolved: EU access to UK fishing waters, the EU’s demand for a “level playing field,” and the position of the European Court of Justice to resolve disputes.

Last Friday, Asian equities posted modest gains, but European indexes closed in the red, reflecting the cautious mood.  The dismal market’s sentiment will likely continue at the beginning of the new week.

Gold prices hit a fresh 8-year high last week, ending it pretty much unchanged at 1,774.60. Central bank’s pledge to keep stimulating the economy and concerns related to the coronavirus pandemic will likely continue to support the bright metal.

Crude oil prices finished the week with gains, although within familiar levels. WTI continues to hover around $40.00 a barrel.

Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Crypto bears return starting out a fresh week

Author

FXStreet Team

Composed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market.

More from FXStreet Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD turns south toward 0.6900 as USD firms up

AUD/USD sees fresh selling and drops toward 0.6900 in late Asian trading on Monday, as renewed US Dollar strength weighs on the pair amid lingering Middle East and Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions. Focus remains on Oil prices, Treasury bond yields, and RBA expectations for fresh trading impetus in the major.

USD/JPY retakes 158.00 amid hawkish BoJ bets, firmer USD

USD/JPY erases losses and retakes 158.00 in the Asian session on Monday, trading within a one-week-old range. Geopolitical uncertainty continues to underpin the US Dollar, despite fading Fed rate hike hopes, supporting the pair's rebound. However, further upside could be capped by hawkish BoJ expectations and looming intervention risks that could support the Japanese Yen.

Gold languishes below $4,200 amid high US yields

Gold trims some losses on Monday, but remains trapped within previous ranges, with upside attempts limited below $4,200 and with two-month lows of $4,110 at a short distance. The recent pullback on the US Dollar Index has provided some support for precious metals although the high US Treasury yields are keeping a floor on US Dollar dips so far.

Pi Network risks a steeper decline as bearish momentum builds

Pi Network extends losses below $0.090 maintaining a steady decline for the fifth consecutive day. The retail demand remains firm, with the notional value of active perpeutals holding above $10 million. The technical outlook for PI remains bearish as bearish momentum mounts.

ISM Services PMI expected to show robust US economy in September

The US ISM Services PMI is expected to improve marginally in September. The US services sector is expected to remain well into expansionary territory. Bets of further Fed tightening appear to have lost traction in the last few days.

Eurozone inflation just hit 3.8%, its highest in three years. This chart shows why the ECB can’t simply hike its way out

The ECB would normally have a relatively straightforward answer to inflation running almost twice its target: raise interest rates. But these are not normal circumstances. This time, the bond market is already doing part of the tightening for it, leaving the ECB facing an increasingly difficult dilemma.