|

Forex today: dollar drops, eur rallied on possible ECB's autumn announcements

Forex today was strong trading the aftermath of the ECB and a market doused with dollar weakness on the political front. 

Firstly, the euro eas bid on a mixed ECB statement and comments from Draghi that accelerated Bund yields as well on the back of the mention of an autumn window for reviewing QE tapering. 

On the political front, Trump is under investigation. According to a recent report by Bloomberg, Special Counsel Robert Mueller, who is investigating the ties between the Donald Trump campaign and Russia in last year’s election, is now looking into a broad range of Trumps' business transactions. The dollar subsequently tanked. DXY is -0.49% into the close while US 10 years are -0.24% at 2.2642, recovering in the latter part of the session as did the dollar. 

Stocks took USD/JPY down on the news, with the Yen now flat n the day having been up at 111.48 vs a low of 112.42 (BoJ's bullish growth picture was yen supportive o/n). GBP/USD was subdued with the euro perky and EUR/GBP keeping a lid on the pound below the 1.30 psychological level. The Aussie has the market's attention, with metals supportive and eyes remain on the 0.8000 level despite the shallow pullback o/n to a few pips below the 0.79 handle. The Kiwi cleared November's high with eyes on the monthly cloud base & 2016 highs but lacking impetus from the upcoming session. 

Key events coming up in Asia

  • NZD Visitor Arrivals (YoY) (Jun)
  • RBA Assist Gov Debelle Speech

Key notes from US session

Mueller expands probe to Trump business transactions - Bloomberg

ECB: a call for a September tapering announcement - Nomura


 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays positive near 1.3450 after UK jobs data

GBP/USD recovers ground and tests 1.3450 in early Europe on Tuesday. The UK ILO Unemployment Rate remained at 4.9% in the three months to May, compared with expectations of 5%, but fails to provide any impetus to the British Pound's renewed uptick. Traders stay cautious amid US-Iran uncertainty and the UK political transition.

EUR/USD steadies above 1.1400, awaits German ZEW Survey

EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1400 mark in European trading on Tuesday. The pair lacks any directional impetus amid a subdued US Dollar price action and ahead of the German ZEW Survey.


Gold: Acceptance above 21-day SMA at $4,065 is critical for buyers

Gold is building on its recovery from two-week lows of $4,024 reached last Friday, extending the winning streak into a third straight day on Tuesday. XAU/USD is capitalizing on the ongoing pullback in Oil prices from monthly highs near $84.50. The black gold is retreating for a second day in a row on emerging signs of diplomatic efforts to ease the US-Iran conflict.

Shiba Inu price extends gains as on-chain and derivatives metrics confirm bullish bias

Shiba Inu extends gains, trading above $0.0000042 after breaking above the descending trendline the previous day. Strengthening on-chain data and improving derivatives metrics support further gains for the meme coin. CryptoQuant’s exchange netflow chart below shows five consecutive days of net outflows since July 17.

Brent nears a critical crossroads as the global economy faces one too
Markets spent last Friday digesting a Reuters report that Iran has told the Houthis to stand ready to close Bab el-Mandeb if the US strikes Iranian power infrastructure — missiles and drones are reportedly already positioned near the strait, awaiting the order from IRGC officers in Yemen.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.