|

Forex Today: BoE policy decisions, US data to keep volatility going

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 3:

Safe-haven flows continue to dominate the financial markets on Thursday, allowing the US Dollar to preserve its strength. The Bank of England (BoE) will announce the interest rate decision and BoE Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a statement on the policy outlook and respond to questions from the press. Later in the day, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims, second-quarter Unit Labor Costs and ISM Services PMI survey for July will be featured in the US economic docket.

The US Dollar Index, which tracks the USD's performance against its major rivals, registered strong gains on Wednesday and continued to push higher toward 103.00 early Thursday, touching its highest level in nearly a month. Wall Street's main indexes suffered heavy losses on Wednesday following the downgrade of US credit rating. In the European session, US stock index futures are down between 0.4% and 0.6%, reflecting the sour market mood.

The BoE is widely expected to raise its policy rate by 25 basis points to 5.25%. Softening inflation, worsening economic outlook and tightening conditions in the labour market, however, put the BoE in a tough spot regarding future policy steps. At the time of press, GBP/USD was trading modestly lower on the day a few pips below 1.2700.

BoE Interest Rate Decision Preview: Stuck between high inflation and gloomy outlook.

EUR/USD closed the third straight day in negative territory and stretched lower toward 1.0900 early Thursday.

During the Asian trading hours, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) reportedly intervened in the bond market and purchased an unlimited amount of 5 to 10-year JGBs to stem the incline in the yield curve.after the benchmark Japanese government bond yield hit a fresh 9-year high near 0.65%. USD/JPY rose toward 144.00 in the Asian session but came under heavy bearish pressure in the European morning. As of writing, the pair was trading in negative territory at around 143.00.

Pressured by surging US Treasury bond yields after the upbeat ADP private sector employment data on Wednesday, gold price declined sharply. After touching a multi-week low at $1,930 early Thursday, XAU/USD staged a rebound toward $1,940.

Bitcoin failed to build on Tuesday's recovery gains and lost nearly 2% on Wednesday. BTC/USD stays on the back foot and trades slightly below $29,000 in the European session. Similarly, Ethereum declined 1.8% on Wednesday and continued to push lower in the Asian session. ETH/USD was last seen losing more than 0.5% on the day at $1,825.

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD weakens as US jobs data trims Fed rate cut bets

The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day near 1.1860 during the early European session on Thursday. Traders will keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data. On Friday, the attention will shift to the US Consumer Price Index inflation report. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

\GBP/USD moves little while holding above 1.3600 in the European session on Thursday, following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed a 0.1% growth against a 0.2% increase expected. The UK industrial sector activity deteriorated in Decembert, keeping the downward pressure intact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold remains on the defensive below two-week top; lacks bearish conviction amid mixed cues

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses through the Asian session on Thursday, though it lacks follow-through selling and remains close to a nearly two-week high, touched the previous day. The commodity currently trades above the $5,070 level, down just over 0.20% for the day, amid mixed cues.

Cardano eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.