Senior Economist at UOB Group Alvin Liew comments on the recent publication of the FOMC Minutes.
Key Quotes
“While the latest FOMC minutes noted the faster progress of the economic recovery, FED policymakers continued to grapple with the uncertainty of US economic and inflation outlook with no concrete decision yet for the Fed policy timeline.”
“Inflation has increased notably in recent months and some FOMC members sounded off more prominently their concerns about inflation which could turn out to be higher and more persistent than expected.”
“With the “talk about the talk” now set in motion for taper discussion, the process will lead to the fleshing out of the tapering of its asset purchase program. The first indicative hint could be released during the Jackson Hole Symposium (26 Aug) and further articulated into a pledge of the taper timeline in the 21/22 September 2021 FOMC. We now expect the first taper to be carried out in December 2021 and the tapering process will last for nearly 1.5 years until May 2023. Thereafter, we project two 25bps rate hikes for 2023, first to 0.25%-0.50% in June and then to 0.50%-0.75% in December…”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
GBP/USD slides to its lowest level since November, eyes 1.2400 ahead of UK jobs data
GBP/USD drifts lower for the third straight day on Tuesday and drops to its lowest level since November 17 during the Asian session. Spot prices trade around the 1.2420 region as traders now look to the UK monthly employment details for a fresh impetus.
EUR/USD falls toward 1.0600 on higher expectations of the Fed prolonging higher rates
EUR/USD continues to lose ground for the sixth successive session, trading near 1.0610 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The elevated US Dollar is exerting pressure on the pair, potentially influenced by the higher US Treasury yields.
Gold price holds steady below $2,400 mark, bullish potential seems intact
Gold price oscillates in a narrow band on Tuesday and remains close to the all-time peak. The worsening Middle East crisis weighs on investors’ sentiment and benefits the metal. Reduced Fed rate cut bets lift the USD to a fresh YTD top and cap gains for the XAU/USD.
SOL primed for a breakout as it completes a rounding bottom pattern
Solana price has conformed to the broader market crash, following in the steps of Bitcoin price that remains in the red below the $65,000 threshold. For SOL, however, the sensational altcoin could have a big move in store.
The week ahead: Key economic and earnings releases to watch
The market’s focus may be on geopolitical issues at the start of this week, but there is a large amount of economic data and more earnings releases to digest in the coming days.