|

Fed’s Daly is prepared to back another 0.75 percentage point rate hike, but US dollar bleeds out

The Wall Street Journal reported that San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly A said Friday she was prepared to support another rate increase of 0.75 percentage point at the central bank’s next meeting, on July 26-27, to counter inflation, which is at a 40-year high.

Several other Fed officials endorsed such a move over the past week.

Daly said that the central bank needs to raise interest rates to levels designed to slow economic growth and combat inflation and that those levels will depend on factors outside of the Fed’s control.

US inflation has accelerated to an 8.6% annual rate in May, its fastest pace in 41 years and is a factor raising the risk of US recession.

Meanwhile, the US dollar has been pressured of late as markets reaccess the Fed's path and the greenback posted its first weekly decline this month.

DXY update

A significant factor this week has been the fall in oil and commodity prices, which has eased inflation fears leading to a return to risk appetite. This has eroded the safe-haven bid that has been boosting the dollar against major currencies:

We have seen the price action in DXY play out as follows:

A break of structure, BoS, would be expected to lead to a sell-off as illustrated above. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).