In view of analysts at BNP Paribas, Eurozone’s slowdown is becoming increasingly evident, especially in the German economy, which has suffered from one-off factors but also from a slowdown of exports to China.
“Capacity constraints also play a role. Business climate in the manufacturing sector continues to decline. Italy has now entered a technical recession with quarterly growth negative in the third and fourth quarter of 2018.”
“Inflation is now expected to decrease following the past drop in the oil price, while core CPI is hardly moving. The activity slowdown also implies that the pick-up in core inflation should be slower than expected until recently. We do not expect the ECB to move rates this year.”
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