|

EUR/USD: Upside bias running out of steam? – UOB

Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang at UOB Group note the upside momentum in EUR/USD appears to be losing some traction.

Key Quotes

24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that ‘the price actions appear to be part of a consolidation phase’ and we expected EUR to ‘trade sideways between 1.0780 and 1.0870’. EUR subsequently traded within a range of 1.0800/1.0873 before closing at 1.0816 (-0.11%). The price actions still appear to be consolidative and we continue to expect EUR to trade sideways, likely between 1.0790 and 1.0860.”

Next 1-3 weeks: “There is not much to add to our update from yesterday (16 Jan, spot at 1.0825). As highlighted, upward momentum is easing and a break of 1.0760 (no change in ‘strong support’ level) would indicate that EUR could consolidate first before making another attempt to advance toward the resistance at 1.0900 later on.”

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses near 1.3550

GBP/USD struggles to maintain the recent bull run and hovers around the 1.3550 zone on Tuesday. Cable’s irresolute price action follows the equally directionless performance of the Greenback, while the disheartening UK jobs data also seem to limit the upside.

EUR/USD climbs to daily highs past 1.1580

EUR/USD keeps the current bullish tone well in place and approaches the 1.1600 region on turnaround Tuesday. Indeed, the pair advances for the fourth day in a row amid the lack of direction in the US Dollar, steady uncertainty in the geopolitical landscape and diminishing bets for further Fed rate hikes.

Gold challenges $4,400 amid modest losses

Gold faces some fresh selling pressure and retreats modestly to the area below the $4,400 mark per troy ounce after two consecutive daily advances. The precious metal’s correction comes in tandem with the absence of direction in the US Dollar, declining US Treasury yields across the curve and continuous uncertainty in the Middle East crisis.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP falter amid escalating US-Iran tensions

Cryptocurrency prices are broadly correcting on Tuesday, with Bitcoin edging lower toward $64,000. Ethereum shows weakness amid ongoing narrow-range consolidation, while Ripple trades below $1.00, weighed down by falling technical indicators.

Fiscal concerns and doubts on Fed independence send US yields to long-term highs

US Treasury yields keep rising across the curve this week, with the yield for the 30-year Treasury bond reaching its highest level since 2007, during the global financial crisis, at 5.33% so far on Monday. A mix of concerns about the ballooning US fiscal deficit and growing doubts about the Federal Reserve’s Independence are increasing pressure on US Government Bonds.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.