|

EUR/USD tumbles below 1.0600 as DXY soars after US CPI

  • US Consumer Price Index rises 0.4% in September, slightly above the 0.3% of market consensus. 
  • US Dollar rises across the board after consumer inflation figures. 
  • The EUR/USD drops almost 50 pips after the report, reaching two-day lows under 1.0600.

The US Dollar rose sharply, boosted by US inflation figures, leading to a downside movement in EUR/USD. The pair broke below 1.0600, tumbling to 1.0570, reaching a two-day low and moving away from the two-week high it reached earlier on Thursday at 1.0640.

The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in September, surpassing the consensus of 0.3%. The annual rate stood at 3.7%. The Core rate increased by 0.3%, in line with expectations, while the annual rate falling from 4.3% in August to 4.1% in September. Another report showed that Initial Jobless Claims totaled 209,000 in the week ended October 7, slightly below the market consensus of 210,000.

Markets reacted significantly to the slight surprise in inflation. The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose to 106.10, reaching a fresh daily high, and then pulled back modestly to 105.90. US Treasury Yields soared, with the 10-year reaching 4.61% and the 2-year 5.08%.

The EUR/USD tumbled to 1.0570, but then had a moderate recovery, rising to 1.0590. It remains far from the two-week high it hit earlier at 1.0640. The positive momentum of the US Dollar is fading ahead of Wall Street's opening bell.

Still looking at 1.0635

The EUR/USD rebounded from an upward trendline and is hovering around the 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the four-hour chart. A decline below 1.0570 could intensify bearish pressure, with the next support levels seen at 1.0555 and 1.0530.

On the upside, the immediate resistance stands at 1.0620, however, the crucial area is around 1.0635. A consolidation above this level would clear the way for further gains. The next resistance levels are at 1.0655, followed by the stronger level at 1.0670.

Technical levels 

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0583
Today Daily Change-0.0037
Today Daily Change %-0.35
Today daily open1.062
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0591
Daily SMA501.0748
Daily SMA1001.0837
Daily SMA2001.0825
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0635
Previous Daily Low1.0581
Previous Weekly High1.06
Previous Weekly Low1.0448
Previous Monthly High1.0882
Previous Monthly Low1.0488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0614
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0601
Daily Pivot Point S11.0589
Daily Pivot Point S21.0558
Daily Pivot Point S31.0535
Daily Pivot Point R11.0643
Daily Pivot Point R21.0666
Daily Pivot Point R31.0697

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold stalls recovery from three-month low as Fed hike bets and USD uptick cap gains

Gold struggles to capitalize on a modest intraday bounce from levels below the $4,000 psychological mark, or a three-month low set during the Asian session, and sticks to a negative tone for the second straight day. The Federal Reserve recently signaled that there is no urgency to raise interest rates. Traders, however, are still pricing in around an 80% chance that the US central bank will raise borrowing costs again at its December policy meeting.

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple rebound as major support levels cap recent sell-off

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple rebound modestly on Friday after correcting and testing their key support zone the previous day. BTC holds the 50-day EMA, ETH finds support around the 100-day EMA, while XRP holds the horizontal floor near $1.300. The price action of these top three cryptocurrencies suggests a recovery if this critical support zone holds; a decisive close below these levels suggests a deeper correction.

The week ahead – UK budget, Shell, BP and HSBC and NatWest results
Financial markets have undergone another turbulent week with concerns about public sector debt levels, the impact of energy policy and higher oil and gas prices, and what events in France might mean for the UK economy going forward.
What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.