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EUR/USD tumbles as seller’s mount, eyeing a break below 1.0500 after dismal US PMI

  • US S&P Global PMIs showed that the US economy is expanding at a slower pace.
  • Worst than expected, Eurozone PMIs, tripped the EUR/USD towards daily lows below 1.0500.
  • Fed’s Powell said he would be reluctant to cut rates when asked at the US House of Representatives.

The EUR/USD slides for the first day in the week, down by 0.30%, courtesy of a mixed market mood and dismal S&P Global PMIs figures on the Euro area reported in the European session, which tumbled the EUR/USD from daily highs around 1.0580s to daily lows near 1.0482. At 1.0509, the EUR/USD prints losses and is ready to continue its path towards the 1.0500 figure.

 A risk-off impulse and dismal EU reported PMIs, tumbled the euro

Sentiment is mixed in the markets. Worst than forecasted EU S&P Global PMIs, all the readings missed expectations, though it weighed more in France. The slowdown in Europe gathers pace even as the European Central Bank (ECB) prepares to lift rates in the July meeting, aiming to tame inflation under control.

The EUR/USD fell on the back of the abovementioned, alongside a risk-off impulse that caused a jump in the greenback. In the meantime, the US S&P Global PMIs also failed to achieve expectations, showing that the US economy is also slowing, but Fed speaking, put a lid on the EUR/USD’s recovery.

The US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, in his appearance at the House of Representatives, said that the Fed has an “unconditional commitment to fighting inflation” and added that bringing inflation without impacting the labor market would be challenging.

Furthermore, when Jerome Powell was asked about cutting rates, he said he is reluctant to do it while adding inflation expectations are anchored, but that’s not enough as, over time, they will come under pressure.

In the meantime, the Fed’s Governor Michell Bowman said that another 75 bps rate hikes would be needed, and she added that further rate hikes would be required. Bowman said that inflation is unacceptably high and has shown no signs of moderating.

Elsewhere, the US Dollar Index, a gauge of the buck’s value against its peers, pops up 0.25% sitting at 104.445, while US Treasury yields, fall, reflecting investors are reassessing not as aggressive as expected Fed tightening, as the US S&P Global PMIs crossed wires.

In the week ahead, the EU calendar will feature ECB speaking, with McCaul, Fernandez-Bollo, Vice-President de Guindos, and Germany’s Ifo indices for June. Across the pond, US New Home Sales and Michigan Consumer Sentiment for June on its final reading will shed some light regarding the US economy

EUR/USD Key Technical Levels

 

Overview
Today last price1.0509
Today Daily Change-0.0057
Today Daily Change %-0.54
Today daily open1.0567
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0613
Daily SMA501.0615
Daily SMA1001.0866
Daily SMA2001.115
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0606
Previous Daily Low1.0469
Previous Weekly High1.0601
Previous Weekly Low1.0359
Previous Monthly High1.0787
Previous Monthly Low1.035
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0553
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0521
Daily Pivot Point S11.0489
Daily Pivot Point S21.041
Daily Pivot Point S31.0352
Daily Pivot Point R11.0626
Daily Pivot Point R21.0684
Daily Pivot Point R31.0762

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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