|

EUR/USD struggles for direction around 1.1320

  • The pair rebounds from lows in the 1.1320/10 band.
  • The greenback climbs and tests fresh tops near 97.10.
  • Focus stays on Fedspeak, trade, Italy and Brexit so far.

EUR/USD continues to struggle for direction during the first half of the week and is now approaching the 1.1320 region, or weekly lows so far.

EUR/USD looks to Brexit, Fedspeak

The mood around the European currency remains tilted to the negative side so far this week, forcing the pair to recede further and re-test the vicinity of the critical 1.1300 the figure on Tuesday.

Omnipresent uncertainty around Brexit and the future of May’s government, the effervescence around Italian politics with centre in the 2019 budget draft and some soft data from Euroland keep weighing down on spot and prompt bears to remain in control in the near term.

Looking ahead, the speech by ECB’s Mersch and Italian Business/Consumer Confidence are due in Euroland. In the US calendar, FOMC’s Evans, Clarida, Bostic and George are due to speak later ahead of the final CB’s Consumer confidence gauge for the month of November. In addition, house prices tracked by the S&P-Case/Shiller Index are also expected.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.03% at 1.1331 facing the next barrier at 1.1362 (21-day SMA) seconded by 1.1434 (high Nov.22) and finally 1.1473 (high Nov.20). On the flip side, a break below 1.1301 (low Oct.31) would target 1.1214 (2018 low Nov.12) en route to 1.1188 (61.8% Fibo of the 2017-2018 rally).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flirts with daily highs, retargets 1.1900

EUR/USD regains upside traction, returning to the 1.1880 zone and refocusing its attention to the key 1.1900 barrier. The pair’s slight gains comes against the backdrop of a humble decline in the US Dollar as investors continue to assess the latest US CPI readings and the potential Fed’s rate path.

GBP/USD remains well bid around 1.3650

GBP/USD maintains its upside momentum in place, hovering around daily highs near 1.3650 and setting aside part of the recent three-day drop. Cable’s improved sentiment comes on the back of the Greenback’s  irresolute price action, while recent hawkish comments from the BoE’s Pill also collaborate with the uptick.

Gold clings to gains just above $5,000/oz

Gold is reclaiming part of the ground lost on Wednesday’s marked decline, as bargain-hunters keep piling up and lifting prices past the key $5,000 per troy ounce. The precious metal’s move higher is also underpinned by the slight pullback in the US Dollar and declining US Treasury yields across the curve.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP in choppy price action, weighed down by falling institutional interest 

Bitcoin's upside remains largely constrained amid weak technicals and declining institutional interest. Ethereum trades sideways above $1,900 support with the upside capped below $2,000 amid ETF outflows.

Week ahead – Data blitz, Fed Minutes and RBNZ decision in the spotlight

US GDP and PCE inflation are main highlights, plus the Fed minutes. UK and Japan have busy calendars too with focus on CPI. Flash PMIs for February will also be doing the rounds. RBNZ meets, is unlikely to follow RBA’s hawkish path.

Ripple Price Forecast: XRP potential bottom could be in sight

Ripple edges up above the intraday low of $1.35 at the time of writing on Friday amid mixed price actions across the crypto market. The remittance token failed to hold support at $1.40 the previous day, reflecting risk-off sentiment amid a decline in retail and institutional sentiment.