|

EUR/USD steadies above 1.1700 as US Dollar stabilizes in holiday-thinned trade

  • EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1700 as the US Dollar stabilizes after earlier weakness.
  • Eurozone PMI readings indicate resilience, with manufacturing in expansion for a second consecutive month.
  • Diverging policy paths keep the EUR/USD biased higher, as the ECB keeps policy steady while the Fed prepares to ease.

The Euro (EUR) is struggling to extend its advance against the US Dollar (USD) as the Greenback steadies after slipping to a more than one-month low during the Asian session, with EUR/USD easing from the upper end of the trading range that has contained price action since early August.

At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1711, easing slightly from the day’s high of 1.1736, yet still up about 0.20% on the day as sentiment remains in favor of the Euro against a broadly softer Greenback. The US Dollar remains under pressure from a combination of economic and political headwinds. Concerns over Washington’s protectionist trade agenda and mounting scrutiny of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence are clouding the monetary policy outlook. Rate cut expectations remain firmly in place, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing markets price in nearly a 90% probability of a 25 basis-point (bps) reduction at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), meanwhile, is showing signs of stabilization in thin holiday trade, holding just above the 97.50 mark as investors turn cautious ahead of key US economic data releases later this week.

On the Euro side, sentiment remains supported by signs of resilience in the bloc’s economy. The final HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August came in at 50.7, slightly above the flash estimate of 50.5 and confirming a second consecutive month of expansion. The Composite PMI also improved to 51.1 from July’s 50.2, marking the fastest pace of private-sector growth in over a year. While Germany stayed just below the 50 threshold at 49.8, the print was its strongest in more than three years, with Southern Europe leading the recovery.

Looking ahead, attention turns to the European Central Bank (ECB), with President Christine Lagarde due to speak later in the day. On Tuesday, focus will shift to preliminary Eurozone inflation data for August, with the Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) expected to ease slightly to 2.2% YoY from 2.3%, while the headline rate is seen steady at 2.0% YoY. Inflation stabilizing near the ECB’s 2% medium-term target suggests policymakers can afford to keep rates on hold for now.

On the US side, the calendar is packed with potential market movers. The ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released on Tuesday, followed by the ISM Services PMI later in the week, alongside weekly Jobless Claims. The highlight will be Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which could be decisive for the Fed’s September meeting.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.10%-0.33%0.18%0.10%-0.15%-0.16%0.16%
EUR0.10%-0.24%0.21%0.20%-0.05%-0.06%0.26%
GBP0.33%0.24%0.36%0.44%0.19%0.17%0.55%
JPY-0.18%-0.21%-0.36%-0.02%-0.32%-0.31%0.02%
CAD-0.10%-0.20%-0.44%0.02%-0.24%-0.26%0.11%
AUD0.15%0.05%-0.19%0.32%0.24%-0.01%0.36%
NZD0.16%0.06%-0.17%0.31%0.26%0.01%0.38%
CHF-0.16%-0.26%-0.55%-0.02%-0.11%-0.36%-0.38%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD tests 1.1700 barrier after EMAs rebound

EUR/USD edges higher after registering modest losses in the previous session, trading around 1.1700 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The technical analysis of the daily chart shows that the pair remains within the descending channel pattern, suggesting an ongoing bearish bias.

GBP/USD strengthens above 1.3400 as UK inflation beats forecasts

The GBP/USD pair gains ground to near 1.3435 during the early European session on Tuesday. The Pound Sterling edges higher against the US Dollar as UK inflation rose more than expected in December. Markets might turn cautious later in the day ahead of a slew of US economic data. 

Gold weakens as safe-haven demand fades on Trump's U-turn

Gold extends the overnight pullback from the vicinity of the $4,900 mark, or a fresh all-time peak, and drifts lower through the Asian session on Thursday, snapping a three-day winning streak. The global risk sentiment gets a strong boost in reaction to US President Donald Trump's U-turn on Greenland and easing geopolitical tensions.

Top Crypto Gainers: Canton, MYX Finance, Pump.fun rise as the market steadies

Canton, MYX Finance, and Pump.fun are leading the recovery over the last 24 hours as the broader cryptocurrency market takes a breather after sharp losses. Technically, the recovering altcoins are closing toward key resistances as selling pressure eases. 

TACO Wednesday and the great market exhale

Markets did not so much trade on Wednesday as they collectively unclenched. After a bruising bout of headline-induced indigestion, every major asset class caught a bid at once. Stocks up. Bonds up. Gold up, then cooling. Crypto rebounding. Crude firming. Even the dollar found its feet.

Axie Infinity extends gains as bullish momentum targets $3

Axie Infinity (AXS) extends its gains by 8%, trading above $2.56 at the time of writing on Thursday, after rallying over 37% this week. The bullish price action is further strengthened by rising whale accumulation volume.