|

EUR/USD steadies above 1.1700 as US Dollar stabilizes in holiday-thinned trade

  • EUR/USD holds steady above 1.1700 as the US Dollar stabilizes after earlier weakness.
  • Eurozone PMI readings indicate resilience, with manufacturing in expansion for a second consecutive month.
  • Diverging policy paths keep the EUR/USD biased higher, as the ECB keeps policy steady while the Fed prepares to ease.

The Euro (EUR) is struggling to extend its advance against the US Dollar (USD) as the Greenback steadies after slipping to a more than one-month low during the Asian session, with EUR/USD easing from the upper end of the trading range that has contained price action since early August.

At the time of writing, EUR/USD is trading around 1.1711, easing slightly from the day’s high of 1.1736, yet still up about 0.20% on the day as sentiment remains in favor of the Euro against a broadly softer Greenback. The US Dollar remains under pressure from a combination of economic and political headwinds. Concerns over Washington’s protectionist trade agenda and mounting scrutiny of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence are clouding the monetary policy outlook. Rate cut expectations remain firmly in place, with the CME FedWatch Tool showing markets price in nearly a 90% probability of a 25 basis-point (bps) reduction at the September 16-17 FOMC meeting.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), meanwhile, is showing signs of stabilization in thin holiday trade, holding just above the 97.50 mark as investors turn cautious ahead of key US economic data releases later this week.

On the Euro side, sentiment remains supported by signs of resilience in the bloc’s economy. The final HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August came in at 50.7, slightly above the flash estimate of 50.5 and confirming a second consecutive month of expansion. The Composite PMI also improved to 51.1 from July’s 50.2, marking the fastest pace of private-sector growth in over a year. While Germany stayed just below the 50 threshold at 49.8, the print was its strongest in more than three years, with Southern Europe leading the recovery.

Looking ahead, attention turns to the European Central Bank (ECB), with President Christine Lagarde due to speak later in the day. On Tuesday, focus will shift to preliminary Eurozone inflation data for August, with the Core Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) expected to ease slightly to 2.2% YoY from 2.3%, while the headline rate is seen steady at 2.0% YoY. Inflation stabilizing near the ECB’s 2% medium-term target suggests policymakers can afford to keep rates on hold for now.

On the US side, the calendar is packed with potential market movers. The ISM Manufacturing PMI will be released on Tuesday, followed by the ISM Services PMI later in the week, alongside weekly Jobless Claims. The highlight will be Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which could be decisive for the Fed’s September meeting.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Swiss Franc.

USDEURGBPJPYCADAUDNZDCHF
USD-0.10%-0.33%0.18%0.10%-0.15%-0.16%0.16%
EUR0.10%-0.24%0.21%0.20%-0.05%-0.06%0.26%
GBP0.33%0.24%0.36%0.44%0.19%0.17%0.55%
JPY-0.18%-0.21%-0.36%-0.02%-0.32%-0.31%0.02%
CAD-0.10%-0.20%-0.44%0.02%-0.24%-0.26%0.11%
AUD0.15%0.05%-0.19%0.32%0.24%-0.01%0.36%
NZD0.16%0.06%-0.17%0.31%0.26%0.01%0.38%
CHF-0.16%-0.26%-0.55%-0.02%-0.11%-0.36%-0.38%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Author

Vishal Chaturvedi

I am a macro-focused research analyst with over four years of experience covering forex and commodities market. I enjoy breaking down complex economic trends and turning them into clear, actionable insights that help traders stay ahead of the curve.

More from Vishal Chaturvedi
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD posts modest gains near 1.1650 amid Fed rate cut bets

The EUR/USD pair posts modest gains around 1.1645 during the early Asian session on Monday. The prospect of a US Federal Reserve rate cut at its December meeting on Wednesday could weigh on the US Dollar against the Euro. Later on Monday, the German Industrial Production and Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence reports will be published. 

GBP/USD consolidates around 1.3330 as traders await Fed rate decision

The GBP/USD pair kicks off the new week on a subdued note and oscillates in a narrow trading band, around the 1.3320-1.3325 region, during the Asian session. Spot prices, however, remain close to the highest level since October 22, touched last Thursday, with bulls awaiting a sustained strength and acceptance above the 100-day Simple Moving Average before placing fresh bets.

Gold edges higher amid dovish Fed bets and geopolitical risks; lacks bullish conviction

Gold attracts some dip-buying at the start of a new week and stalls Friday's modest pullback from the $4,260 area, or the vicinity of its highest level since October 21. The US Dollar continues with its struggle to attract any meaningful buyers and languishes near a one-month low amid dovish Federal Reserve expectations. 

Bitcoin and Ethereum aim for breakouts as Ripple holds at $2

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple record a minor recovery on Monday, starting the week on a positive note. The retail demand for major cryptocurrencies remains strong despite outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum Exchange Traded Funds.

The Silver disconnection is real

Silver just hit a new all-time high. Neither did gold, nor mining stocks. They all reversed on an intraday basis, but silver’s move to new highs makes it still bullish overall, while the almost complete reversals in gold and miners make the latter technically bearish.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.