|

EUR/USD sidelined around 1.2450 ahead of data

  • The pair is navigating the key resistance area around 1.2450.
  • USD slightly bid below the 89.00 milestone, looks to data.
  • Risk-on mood prevails as US-China trade concerns ease.

The risk-on sentiment remains in full swing during the first half of the week and is now prompting EUR/USD to meander the upper end of the range near the key 1.2450 zone.

EUR/USD looks to data, US-China

The pair’s upside momentum remains well and sound on Tuesday despite it is now struggling to overcome the critical resistance area in the mid-1.2400s.

The sell off in the greenback as of late plus now alleviated concerns over a potential US-China trade war, particularly following recent announcements of US tariffs on Chinese imports, have contributed to the up move in spot and lent extra oxygen to the generalized optimism surrounding the risk-associated universe.

On the USD-side, the US Dollar Index (DXY) broke below the key support at 89.00 the figure on Monday, recording at the same time new multi-week lows.

Data wise in Euroland, M3 Money Supply and Private Loans are next on tap seconded by several gauges of confidence and sentiment. Across the pond, the S&P-Case/Shiller index is due seconded by the more relevant Consumer Confidence measure by the Conference Board.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.04% at 1.2448 and a break above 1.2462 (high Mar.27) would target 1.2537 (high Jan.25) en route to 1.2557 (2018 high Feb.16). On the flip side, immediate contention emerges at 1.2344 (10-day sma) followed by 1.2241 (low Mar.21) and finally 1.2206 (low Feb.9).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to daily gains around 1.1630 ahead of Fed

EUR/USD manages to regain the smile on Wednesday, advancing marginally to the 1.1630 zone after four consecutive daily pullbacks, all amid the reneweed offered stance in the           US Dollar prior to the FOMC event. The Fed is largely anticipated to trim its interest rates by 25 bps.

GBP/USD looks bid above 1.3300, eyes on the Fed

GBP/USD sets aside two daily declines in a row and trades with modest gains just above 1.3300 the figure on Wednesday. Cable’s better tone comes on the back of some selling pressure hurting the Greenback prior to the FOMC event. Next on tap across the Channel will be the GDP figures on Friday.

Gold appears sidelined around $4,200 ahead of FOMC event

Gold trades slightly on the back foot on Wednesday amid a weaker US Dollar and the continuation of the upside momentum in US Treasury yields across the curve. The precious metal remains cautious ahead of the expected 25 bps rate cut by the Fed and the release of the updated “dots plot”.

Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates as disagreement among officials grows

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, with markets widely expecting the US central bank to deliver a final 25 bps cut for 2025.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum hold steady as XRP struggles ahead of Fed rate decision

Bitcoin holds above $92,000, supported by ETF inflows and hopes of a potential Fed interest rate cut. Ethereum rises above the 50-day EMA as the MACD and RSI signal a bullish turnaround. XRP trades under pressure as sellers target $2.00 support despite mild ETF inflows.

Hyperliquid eyes $30 breakout despite declining staking balance

Hyperliquid is trading above $28.00 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after rebounding from support at $27.50. The broader cryptocurrency market is characterised by widespread intraday losses ahead of the Fed monetary policy decision.