|

EUR/USD sidelined around 1.2450 ahead of data

  • The pair is navigating the key resistance area around 1.2450.
  • USD slightly bid below the 89.00 milestone, looks to data.
  • Risk-on mood prevails as US-China trade concerns ease.

The risk-on sentiment remains in full swing during the first half of the week and is now prompting EUR/USD to meander the upper end of the range near the key 1.2450 zone.

EUR/USD looks to data, US-China

The pair’s upside momentum remains well and sound on Tuesday despite it is now struggling to overcome the critical resistance area in the mid-1.2400s.

The sell off in the greenback as of late plus now alleviated concerns over a potential US-China trade war, particularly following recent announcements of US tariffs on Chinese imports, have contributed to the up move in spot and lent extra oxygen to the generalized optimism surrounding the risk-associated universe.

On the USD-side, the US Dollar Index (DXY) broke below the key support at 89.00 the figure on Monday, recording at the same time new multi-week lows.

Data wise in Euroland, M3 Money Supply and Private Loans are next on tap seconded by several gauges of confidence and sentiment. Across the pond, the S&P-Case/Shiller index is due seconded by the more relevant Consumer Confidence measure by the Conference Board.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is gaining 0.04% at 1.2448 and a break above 1.2462 (high Mar.27) would target 1.2537 (high Jan.25) en route to 1.2557 (2018 high Feb.16). On the flip side, immediate contention emerges at 1.2344 (10-day sma) followed by 1.2241 (low Mar.21) and finally 1.2206 (low Feb.9).

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).