EUR/USD rebound from 2019 lows, back around 1.1280

The pair moved lower and printed yearly lows near 1.1230.
The greenback is now easing from YTD peaks post-data.
Big miss in January US Industrial Production.

Pablo Piovano FXStreet

Volatility remains the name of the game so far at the end of the week, as EUR/USD has now advanced to the 1.1280/85 band after briefly recording fresh 2019 lows in the boundaries of 1.1230.

EUR/USD bid after US data

Risk-on sentiment remains well and sound in the second half of the week, although the sentiment around the single currency stays depressed amidst the ongoing rally in the buck, all following recent progress from the US-China trade talks.

After briefly recording fresh yearly lows in the 1.1235/30 band, spot met a wave of buying orders following the big miss in US Industrial Production, which contracted at a monthly 0.6% in January. Further data saw Capacity Utilization dropping to 78.2% and Manufacturing Production retreating 0.9% inter-month, all prints coming in below previous estimates.

On the brighter side, the regional manufacturing gauge measured by the Empire State index rose above estimates to 8.80 for the current month.

What to look for around EUR

The offered bias in the shared currency remains well and sound this week in spite of some progress made in the US-China trade talks and agreement to resume negotiations next week. The slowdown in the euro bloc keeps weighing on sentiment so far, adding to the ongoing speculations that the ECB could refrain from acting on rates this year and extend further, instead, the current ‘pause-mode’. In addition, political concerns remain well and sound in Euroland as we get closer to the EU parliamentary elections: snap elections in Spain on April 28, the still unresolved issue of the ‘yellow vests’ in France and the omnipresent effervescence in the Italian political scenario, all appear to be lending support to the idea of swelling populism in the Old Continent.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.18% at 1.1273 and a break below 1.1234 (2019 low Feb.15) would target 1.1215 (2018 low Nov.12) en route to 1.1118 (monthly low Jun.20 2017). On the flip side, the next up barrier emerges at 1.1294 (100-hour SMA) seconded by 1.1332 (200-week SMA) and finally 1.1341 (high Feb.13).

Author

Pablo Piovano

FXStreet

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

GBP/USD clings to 1.3500 amid marginal losses

GBP/USD alternates gains with losses around the 1.3500 neighbourhood on Tuesday. Indeed, Cable struggles to further extend its incipient recovery in a context of continuous instability in the Middle East and modest gains in the Greenback.

EUR/USD alternates gains with losses near 1.1540

EUR/USD navigates a tight range near 1.1550 in the latter part of Tuesday’s NA session. The US Dollar’s vacillating price action accompanies the pair while market participants gear up for the crucial US inflation data due on Wednesday.

Gold trades above $4,350; looks to US CPI for fresh impetus

Gold ticks higher during the Asian session on Wednesday, stalling the previous day's retracement slide from a two-month high. The lack of any meaningful US Dollar buying ahead of the crucial US CPI report acts as a tailwind for the bullion. Meanwhile, oil-driven inflation fears keep bets for at least one Fed rate hike in 2026 firmly on the table and might keep a lid on any meaningful upside for the non-yielding yellow metal.

Can EIP-8363 save Ethereum's ultrasound money thesis, or is the damage already done?

Over the past two years, Ethereum has faced one of its biggest challenges — its circulating supply has been in an uptrend, a direct stab at its ultrasound money thesis.

911 million shares freed: Why SpaceX rallied into its own supply

The most heavily trailed supply event of the year landed on August 6, and the SpaceX (SPCX) stock went up. Roughly 911.5 million shares held by insiders and early backers became eligible to trade, around 43% more than the entire float sold at the listing, and the freely tradable portion of the company jumped from under 5% of shares outstanding to nearly 12% in a single session.

9-3: Is the Federal Reserve’s vote tally Warsh's new forward guidance?

The rate did not move. Neither did the statement, and that’s the more interesting fact. Set the July 29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement beside the one issued on June 17, and the two documents are identical apart from a single verb and a paragraph at the bottom naming three dissenters.