EUR/USD rebound from 2019 lows, back around 1.1280


  • The pair moved lower and printed yearly lows near 1.1230.
  • The greenback is now easing from YTD peaks post-data.
  • Big miss in January US Industrial Production.

Volatility remains the name of the game so far at the end of the week, as EUR/USD has now advanced to the 1.1280/85 band after briefly recording fresh 2019 lows in the boundaries of 1.1230.

EUR/USD bid after US data

Risk-on sentiment remains well and sound in the second half of the week, although the sentiment around the single currency stays depressed amidst the ongoing rally in the buck, all following recent progress from the US-China trade talks.

After briefly recording fresh yearly lows in the 1.1235/30 band, spot met a wave of buying orders following the big miss in US Industrial Production, which contracted at a monthly 0.6% in January. Further data saw Capacity Utilization dropping to 78.2% and Manufacturing Production retreating 0.9% inter-month, all prints coming in below previous estimates.

On the brighter side, the regional manufacturing gauge measured by the Empire State index rose above estimates to 8.80 for the current month.

What to look for around EUR

The offered bias in the shared currency remains well and sound this week in spite of some progress made in the US-China trade talks and agreement to resume negotiations next week. The slowdown in the euro bloc keeps weighing on sentiment so far, adding to the ongoing speculations that the ECB could refrain from acting on rates this year and extend further, instead, the current ‘pause-mode’. In addition, political concerns remain well and sound in Euroland as we get closer to the EU parliamentary elections: snap elections in Spain on April 28, the still unresolved issue of the ‘yellow vests’ in France and the omnipresent effervescence in the Italian political scenario, all appear to be lending support to the idea of swelling populism in the Old Continent.

EUR/USD levels to watch

At the moment, the pair is losing 0.18% at 1.1273 and a break below 1.1234 (2019 low Feb.15) would target 1.1215 (2018 low Nov.12) en route to 1.1118 (monthly low Jun.20 2017). On the flip side, the next up barrier emerges at 1.1294 (100-hour SMA) seconded by 1.1332 (200-week SMA) and finally 1.1341 (high Feb.13).

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers.

Feed news

Latest Forex News

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD breaks below 1.0800 amid data imbalances, risk-off

A disappointing German ZEW Survey, better than expected US data and looming coronavirus concerns are pushing EUR/USD lower. 1.0770 next critical support.

EUR/USD News

GBP/USD bounces above 1.30 as markets shrug off wage figures

GBP/USD is trading above 1.30 as investors ignore weak UK wage figures and Brexit concerns once again. Coronavirus headlines are eyed.

GBP/USD News

Forex Today: Coronavirus takes a bite from the apple, Gold gains, Bitcoin bounces

The coronavirus outbreak's economic impact is growing as Apple, the iPhone maker has issued a warning that it is unable to meet its guidance due to production and issues and closed stores in China. The tech giant's announcement has been weighing on the market mood, pushing gold and the yen higher. 

Read more

Gold firmer, near $1,600/oz on coronavirus fears

Renewed fears around the Chinese coronavirus (COVID-19) have been supporting the demand for the safe haven metal in past hours, taking the ounce troy to levels just shy of the key $1,600 mark.

Gold News

FXStreet launches Real-Time Trading Signals

FXStreet Signals offers access to explanatory live webinars, real-time notifications when signals are triggered and exclusive membership to the company’s Telegram group, where users get direct guidance by our analysts and get room to discuss and interact.

More info

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures