|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Teases another attempt to cross 200-SMA hurdle above 1.0500

  • EUR/USD consolidates the biggest daily loss in a week after bouncing off short-term key supports.
  • 50-SMA, five-week-old horizontal area appear to be strong supports.
  • Bulls need validation from 200-SMA to retake control.

EUR/USD holds onto the corrective pullback from the 50-SMA around 1.0525 during Friday’s Asian session.

In doing so, the major currency pair also justifies Wednesday’s rebound from the key horizontal support zone comprising multiple levels marked since mid-May.

Given the sluggish MACD signals and steady RSI, coupled with the quote’s ability to recover from important supports, the EUR/USD pair is likely to run towards the 200-SMA hurdle surrounding 1.0585.

However, the quote’s upside past 1.0585 will need to cross the weekly peak of 1.0600 and early June’s low near 1.0630 to give control to buyers.

Meanwhile, the 50-SMA and aforementioned support area, respectively near 1.0495 and 1.0470-60, could challenge the EUR/USD bears.

During the pair’s weakness past 1.0460, multiple troughs near 1.0400 could test the bears before directing them to the yearly low of 1.0349.

To sum up, EUR/USD signals corrective pullback but the buyers need validation from 200-SMA.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further recovery expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0522
Today Daily Change-0.0045
Today Daily Change %-0.43%
Today daily open1.0567
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0613
Daily SMA501.0615
Daily SMA1001.0866
Daily SMA2001.115
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0606
Previous Daily Low1.0469
Previous Weekly High1.0601
Previous Weekly Low1.0359
Previous Monthly High1.0787
Previous Monthly Low1.035
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0553
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0521
Daily Pivot Point S11.0489
Daily Pivot Point S21.041
Daily Pivot Point S31.0352
Daily Pivot Point R11.0626
Daily Pivot Point R21.0684
Daily Pivot Point R31.0762

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD recovers to 1.1750 region as 2025 draws to a close

Following the bearish action seen in the European session on Wednesday, EUR/USD regains its traction and recovery to the 1.1750 region. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low as trading conditions thin out on the last day of the year.

GBP/USD stays weak near 1.3450 on modest USD recovery

GBP/USD remains under modest beairsh pressure and fluctuates at around 1.3450 on Wednesday. The US Dollar finds fresh demand due to the end-of-the-year position adjustments, weighing on the pair amid the pre-New Year trading lull. 

Gold retreats to $4,300 area, looks to post monthly gains

Gold stays on the back foot on the last day of 2025 and trades near $4,300, possibly pressured by profit-taking and position adjustments. Nevertheless, XAU/USD remains on track to post gains for December and extend its winning streak into a fifth consecutive month.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP prepare for a potential New Year rebound

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple are holding steady on Wednesday after recording minor gains on the previous day. Technically, Bitcoin could extend gains within a triangle pattern while Ethereum and Ripple face critical overhead resistance. 

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).