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EUR/USD Price Analysis: Struggle with 21-DMA continues ahead of US inflation

  • EUR/USD closes Thursday below 21-DMA, caution for bulls.
  • Cautious mood, dovish ECB and firmer Treasury yields weigh on the spot.
  • Downside appears more compelling, with support at 1.1242 likely at risk.

EUR/USD is seeing some fresh selling pressure while trading below 1.1300 in the European session on Friday, as the bears extend control amid rebounding Treasury yields and risk-aversion.

The Fed-ECB monetary policy divergence continues to render negative for the euro, especially after the ECB is reportedly planning to boost its regular Asset Purchase Program (APP) at its next week’s policy meeting.

Meanwhile, the latest uptick in the yields is driving the greenback higher, exerting additional downside pressure on the main currency pair ahead of the US inflation release.

Technically, the spot is trading on the defensive below the 21-Daily Moving Average (DMA) at 1.1302 following Wednesday’s close below the latter.  

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to trade below the 50.00 level, keeping the EUR sellers cheerful.  

Any pick-up in the downside momentum could put the rising trendline support of 1.1242 at risk.

Daily closing below the latter will expose the 1.1200 level. The next stop for EUR bears is seen at the yearly lows of 1.1185.

EUR/USD: Daily chart

On the flip side, acceptance above the 21-DMA will call for a test of the 1.1350 psychological level.

Further up, buyers could look out for a rally towards the 1.1400 round number.

EUR/USD: Additional levels to consider

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1287
Today Daily Change-0.0008
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.1294
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1303
Daily SMA501.1473
Daily SMA1001.1624
Daily SMA2001.1801
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.135
Previous Daily Low1.1278
Previous Weekly High1.1383
Previous Weekly Low1.1235
Previous Monthly High1.1616
Previous Monthly Low1.1186
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1306
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.1323
Daily Pivot Point S11.1265
Daily Pivot Point S21.1236
Daily Pivot Point S31.1194
Daily Pivot Point R11.1337
Daily Pivot Point R21.1379
Daily Pivot Point R31.1408

Author

Dhwani Mehta

Dhwani Mehta

FXStreet

Residing in Mumbai (India), Dhwani is a Senior Analyst and Manager of the Asian session at FXStreet. She has over 10 years of experience in analyzing and covering the global financial markets, with specialization in Forex and commodities markets.

More from Dhwani Mehta
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