|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Northward road looks bumpy despite bulls holding above 1.0600

  • EUR/USD refresh intraday high during two-day uptrend, consolidates Wednesday’s big losses.
  • Sustained break of 200-HMA, two-day-old bullish channel keeps buyers hopeful.
  • Nearly overbought RSI conditions, sluggish MACD signals prod bulls.
  • Convergence of 100-HMA, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement guards immediate upside.

EUR/USD picks up bids to renew intraday top around 1.0650 as it portrays a two-day uptrend during the early hours of Friday. In doing so, the major currency pair cheers the upside break of the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA) within a two-day-old ascending trend channel.

Although the 200-HMA breakout joins bullish channel formation to keep the EUR/USD bulls in the driver’s seat, the upside momentum appears to run out of steam as the RSI approaches the overbought territory while the MACD signals seem sluggish despite being bullish of late.

Apart from that, a convergence of the 100-HMA and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s heavy fall on Wednesday, around 1.0665, appears a tough nut to crack for the bulls.

In a case where EUR/USD remains firmer past 1.0665, the aforementioned channel’s top line, near 1.0690 at the latest, precedes the monthly high surrounding 1.0760, marked on Wednesday, to challenge the quote’s further advances.

Meanwhile, the 200-HMA level surrounding 1.0630 restricts the immediate downside of the EUR/USD pair, a break of which highlights the stated channel’s bottom line, close to 1.0620, as the key support.

Should the EUR/USD pair drops below 1.0620, it defies the bullish chart formation and can drop to the monthly low marked on Wednesday around 1.0515.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0646
Today Daily Change0.0036
Today Daily Change %0.34%
Today daily open1.061
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0625
Daily SMA501.0728
Daily SMA1001.0562
Daily SMA2001.0325
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0636
Previous Daily Low1.0551
Previous Weekly High1.0701
Previous Weekly Low1.0524
Previous Monthly High1.1033
Previous Monthly Low1.0533
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0603
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0583
Daily Pivot Point S11.0562
Daily Pivot Point S21.0514
Daily Pivot Point S31.0477
Daily Pivot Point R11.0647
Daily Pivot Point R21.0684
Daily Pivot Point R31.0731

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD moves sideways below 1.1800 on Christmas Eve

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and trades in a narrow channel below 1.1800 after posting gains for two consecutive days. Bond and stock markets in the US will open at the usual time and close early on Christmas Eve, allowing the trading action to remain subdued. 

GBP/USD keeps range around 1.3500 amid quiet markets

GBP/USD keeps its range trade intact at around 1.3500 on Wednesday. The Pound Sterling holds the upper hand over the US Dollar amid pre-Christmas light trading as traders move to the sidelines heading into the holiday season. 

Gold retreats from record highs, trades below $4,500

Gold retreats after setting a new record-high above $4,520 earlier in the day and trades in a tight range below $4,500 as trading volumes thin out ahead of the Christmas break. The US Dollar selling bias remains unabated on the back of dovish Fed expectations, which continues to act as a tailwind for the bullion amid persistent geopolitical risks.

Bitcoin slips below $87,000 as ETF outflows intensify, whale participation declines

Bitcoin price continues to trade around $86,770 on Wednesday, after failing to break above the $90,000 resistance. US-listed spot ETFs record an outflow of $188.64 million on Tuesday, marking the fourth consecutive day of withdrawals.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Avalanche struggles near $12 as Grayscale files updated form for ETF

Avalanche trades close to $12 by press time on Wednesday, extending the nearly 2% drop from the previous day. Grayscale filed an updated form to convert its Avalanche-focused Trust into an ETF with the US Securities and Exchange Commission.