|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Next target emerges at 1.0180

  • EUR/USD reclaims part of the ground lost on Tuesday’s sell-off.
  • Further rebound should target the multi-month line near 1.180.

EUR/USD regains some poise and manages to trim part of the weekly pullback following Tuesday’s slump in the wake of the release of US inflation figures.

If the recovery picks up extra pace, then the interim hurdle comes at the 55-day SMA at 1.0125 prior to the key 7-month resistance line, today near 1.0180. A move beyond the latter is needed to mitigate the downside pressure and allow at the same time a visit to the interim 100-day SMA at 1.0325 prior to the more relevant August high at 1.0368 (August 10).

In the longer run, the pair’s bearish view is expected to prevail as long as it trades below the 200-day SMA at 1.0741.

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0006
Today Daily Change68
Today Daily Change %0.32
Today daily open0.9974
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0003
Daily SMA501.0108
Daily SMA1001.0334
Daily SMA2001.075
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0187
Previous Daily Low0.9967
Previous Weekly High1.0114
Previous Weekly Low0.9864
Previous Monthly High1.0369
Previous Monthly Low0.9901
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0051
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0103
Daily Pivot Point S10.9898
Daily Pivot Point S20.9822
Daily Pivot Point S30.9677
Daily Pivot Point R11.0118
Daily Pivot Point R21.0263
Daily Pivot Point R31.0339

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD remains depressed near 0.6950 after RBA minutes

AUD/USD attracts follow-through selling during Tuesday’s Asian session, looking to extend the overnight rejection slide from 0.7000, or a two-week top, following the release of RBA meeting Minutes. The US Dollar retains a bullish undertone near its highest level since April 2025 as energy-driven inflation risks keep December Fed rate hike bets firmly on the table. Adding to this, geopolitical risks further underpin the safe-haven USD.

USD/JPY extends retreat below 158.50 as intervention risks loom

USD/JPY is dropping below 158.50 in the Asian session on Tuesday, snapping a two-day winning streak and pulling back from an over two-week top touched the previous day, despite Japan's soft PPI inflation print. Bulls turn cautious amid speculation that authorities will step in to prop up the Japanese Yen, which, in turn, weighs on the pair.

Gold struggles above $4.150 amid geopolitical escalation

Gold struggles above $4,150 in the Asian session on Tuesday as elevated US Treasury yields and a hawkish Fed keep the US Dollar near its highest level since April 2025. Adding to this, persistent geopolitical uncertainties stemming from Middle East conflicts continue to underpin the safe-haven buck, which, in turn, is seen as weighing on the bullion. Traders now look to US inflation figures for some impetus ahead of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's appearance on Friday.

Fed hold remains base case, September inflation surprise could push Dollar

The FOMC minutes read as hawkish last week, but they predate the soft September payrolls print and the modest inflation reads since then. We continue to think the Fed will hold rates this month, since we expect a moderate (i.e. 0.2% or less) monthly core print in this week's inflation report for September.

Earnings preview US and Europe: Can the stock market rally continue?
Stocks have been remarkably resilient this year. They have navigated geopolitical turmoil, an energy price spike and surging global bond yields which is rapidly pushing up the cost of borrowing. US blue chip stocks are now in their 4th year of a bull market, however, they now face their toughest test of Q4 so far, the latest earnings updates.
Has Bitcoin really escaped the macro forces it was built to fight?
Over 17 years ago, Satoshi Nakamoto designed Bitcoin (BTC) on the back of a global financial crisis as an alternative to the global monetary system outside the control of central banks, governments and traditional intermediaries. This raises a key question: has Bitcoin really become independent of the macroeconomic forces it was built to challenge?