|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Moves lower to near 1.0880 followed by the 38.2% Fibonacci level

  • EUR/USD loses ground as the US Dollar attempts to recover its recent losses.
  • The lagging indicator MACD suggests a confirmation of the bearish momentum.
  • The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 1.0867 and major support at 1.0850 could act as the immediate support zone.

EUR/USD trades lower near 1.0880 during the Asian session on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) makes efforts to retrace its recent losses. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) for the EUR/USD pair is positioned below the 50 mark, indicating a bearish momentum in the market.

The lagging indicator Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for the EUR/USD pair indicates a potential confirmation of a downward trend. The MACD line is positioned below the centerline and is diverging below the signal line. This configuration suggests that the short-term moving average is lagging behind the long-term moving average, signaling a potential bearish momentum in the EUR/USD pair.

The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at the 1.0867 level appears as the immediate support for the EUR/USD pair followed by the major support at the 1.0850 level. A collapse below the major support could lead the pair to navigate the area around psychological support at 1.0800 followed by the 50% retracement level at 1.0787.

On the upside, the psychological level at 1.0900 serves as an immediate barrier, with a major level at 1.0950 further complicating the path. A successful breakthrough above the major barrier could potentially inspire bullish momentum in the pair. If this occurs, the bulls may target the region around the psychological level at 1.1000, and beyond that, they could aim for January's high at 1.1038.

EUR/USD: Daily Chart

EUR/USD: additional technical levels

Overview
Today last price1.0877
Today Daily Change-0.0003
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1.088
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0937
Daily SMA501.0921
Daily SMA1001.0774
Daily SMA2001.0845
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0932
Previous Daily Low1.0847
Previous Weekly High1.0967
Previous Weekly Low1.0844
Previous Monthly High1.114
Previous Monthly Low1.0724
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.09
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.088
Daily Pivot Point S11.0841
Daily Pivot Point S21.0802
Daily Pivot Point S31.0756
Daily Pivot Point R11.0926
Daily Pivot Point R21.0971
Daily Pivot Point R31.1011

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7000; remains close to monthly top

AUD/USD holds steady above 0.7000 during the Asian session on Friday, trading just below the previous day's monthly low amid diverging forces. A hawkish RBA continues to support the Aussie, while the recent decline in US bond yields keeps the US Dollar depressed near a three-week low. However, oil-driven inflation fears reinforce Fed hike bets, which, along with geopolitical risks, could benefit the safe-haven buck and cap the currency pair.

USD/JPY bounces off one-month low; climbs to 157.00 amid reviving USD demand

USD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose to a nine-month peak and reaffirmed BoJ rate-hike bets, which could support the Japanese Yen and cap gains for the currency pair.

Gold treads water around $4,000

Gold prices maintain its offered stance in place at the end of the week, hovering around the key $4,000 threshold per troy ounce. The persistent selling bias in the precious metal comes amid decent gains in the US Dollar and an acceptable rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve, all alongside further upside traction in crude oil prices.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin holds the 50-day EMA as Ethereum and XRP face structural resistance

Bitcoin gradually ticks up on Friday, trading above $81,000. The Crypto King has recently defended structural support near $80,000, reinforcing the prevailing bullish outlook. Ethereum similarly edges higher above $2,400, while Ripple trades above $1.32 after testing support around $1.30.

The French bond panic is overdone. Here's what the market is misreading 

France's 10-year government bond yield has climbed above 5%, reigniting fears of a sovereign debt crisis in the Eurozone. With public debt exceeding €3.5 trillion, persistent budget deficits and a fragmented political landscape, investors are increasingly questioning the French government's ability to stabilize its finances.

What November 3 means for the Fed's rate path and the US Dollar

The USD faces a decisive period ahead of the November 3 midterm elections. While markets anticipate another interest rate increase from the Fed in December, the battle for control of Congress could reshape fiscal policy expectations and, indirectly, the path of US monetary policy in 2027.