|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Extra losses likely below the 200-day SMA

  • EUR/USD bounces off lows around the 1.0770 zone.
  • The continuation of the decline could see 1.0630 retested.

EUR/USD remains under pressure and wobbles round 1.0800 after bottoming out in the 1.0770/65 band, or new monthly lows, earlier on Friday.

The loss of the August low favours extra losses to, initially, the May low of 1.0635 (May 31) prior to the 2023 low of 1.0481 seen in early January.

A drop below the 200-day SMA should keep extra pullbacks in store for the time being.

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0804
Today Daily Change51
Today Daily Change %-0.06
Today daily open1.081
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.093
Daily SMA501.098
Daily SMA1001.0929
Daily SMA2001.0801
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0877
Previous Daily Low1.0805
Previous Weekly High1.096
Previous Weekly Low1.0845
Previous Monthly High1.1276
Previous Monthly Low1.0834
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0832
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0849
Daily Pivot Point S11.0785
Daily Pivot Point S21.0759
Daily Pivot Point S31.0713
Daily Pivot Point R11.0856
Daily Pivot Point R21.0902
Daily Pivot Point R31.0928

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD revisits 1.3530; Dollar pushes harder

GBP/USD adds to the weekly correction and recedes toward the 1.3530 zone on Friday. Indeed, Cable faces increasing selling pressure on the back of extra gains in the Greenback, particularly fuelled by Chair Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium and the US NFP Annual Revision (-79K).

EUR/USD breaches below 1.1600, multi-day lows

EUR/USD now accelerates its decline and retreats to seven-day troughs in the sub-1.1600 region at the end of the week. The pair’s pullback comes on the back of the strong rebound in the US Dollar after Chair Warsh delivered a hawkish message in Jackson Hole, while the US NFP Annual Revision came in at -79K.

Gold challenges its 200-day SMA near $4,530

Gold’s decline gathers fresh steam, hitting weekly lows while disputing its critical 200-day SMA near $4,530 per troy ounce. The yellow metal’s increasing weakness comes in response to the generalised upbeat tone in the US Dollar and the widespread rebound in US Treasury yields, as investors continue to reprice a Fed rate hike in September.

Week ahead: RBNZ and BoC decide on rates ahead of all-important US NFP
The US dollar staged a modest recovery this week, perhaps as traders decided to cover some of their short positions amid slightly stickier or in-line US PCE inflation numbers for July, confounding expectations of softer prints amid the softness revealed in the CPI data for the month.
CFTC Report: CAD short covering leads; Gold buying surges
The week in one sentence: speculative positioning shifted more constructively in the week to August 25. CAD short covering led the move, followed by a broad reduction in EUR shorts and renewed Gold buying. GBP and VIX positioning also improved, while JPY positioning deteriorated and WTI flows diverged from weaker prices.
Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.