EUR/USD Price Analysis: Euro recovery needs acceptance from 1.0720 and ECB vs. Fed concerns


  • EUR/USD picks up bids to refresh intraday high, bounces off weekly low.
  • Upbeat RSI, MACD signals joins sustained rebound from weekly triangle’s support to favor Euro bulls.
  • Convergence of 200-HMA, 100-HMA and triangle’s top line checks EUR/USD bulls before giving them control.

EUR/USD bulls attack the 1.0700 threshold while refreshing the intraday high early Wednesday. In doing so, the Euro pair reverses the previous day’s losses within a one-week-old symmetrical triangle.

It’s worth noting that the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line, not overbought, back the Euro pair’s rebound from the stated triangle’s support line, suggesting further advances in the price.

Furthermore, the latest divergence between the interest rate bets on the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) also lure the EUR/USD buyers.

Also read: EUR/USD replicates sluggish markets around 1.0700 amid challenges for ECB hawks, Fed blackout

However, the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA), 100-HMA and the aforementioned triangle’s top line together highlight the 1.0720 level as a tough nut to crack for the EUR/USD bulls.

Should the major currency pair manages to remain firmer past 1.0720, the odds of witnessing a quick jump toward Friday’s high of around 1.0780 can’t be ruled out.

Following that, the 1.0800 may act as a buffer during the EUR/USD pair’s likely run-up towards the mid-May peak surrounding 1.0910.

Alternatively, EUR/USD pullback remains elusive unless the quote stays beyond the bottom of the short-term triangle, close to 1.0665 by the press time.

In a case where the Euro pair remains bearish past 1.0665, May’s low of 1.0635 can act as the last defense of the buyers before highlighting the troughs of March and January, 1.0515 and 1.0480, as the key supports.

EUR/USD: Hourly chart

Trend: Further upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.0704
Today Daily Change 0.0011
Today Daily Change % 0.10%
Today daily open 1.0693
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0784
Daily SMA50 1.0892
Daily SMA100 1.0811
Daily SMA200 1.0509
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0733
Previous Daily Low 1.0667
Previous Weekly High 1.0779
Previous Weekly Low 1.0635
Previous Monthly High 1.1092
Previous Monthly Low 1.0635
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0692
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0708
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0662
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0632
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0596
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0728
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0763
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0794

 

 

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