|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears march the bulls back to the edge of the abyss

  • EUR/USD bears are in control and the price is at the edge of the abyss. 
  • The 50% mean reversion weekly target is vulnerable. 

As per the pre-ECB analysis from Thursday's Asian morning session, EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bears are stalling bullish advances at key resistance, 50% mean reversion eyed, the euro has come under immense selling pressure and moved in on a critical area of price imbalance which leaves the 50% target vulnerable. 

EUR/USD weekly chart, prior analysis

The W-formation was spotted on the weekly chart, a reversion pattern that leaves the 50% mean reversion target vulnerable for the time ahead. 

EUR/USD live market, weekly, daily & H1 charts

The price extended the correction towards the target as illustrated above.

From a daily perspective, there is an M-formation being formed from Thursday's price action. However, while this too is a reversion pattern, there is a price imbalance between June 1's low and May 20 lows of 1.0532 that the bears are embarking on. Mitigation of this price area, around 80 pips to the downside, could play out over the course of the next sessions if bears stay in control. 

From an hourly perspective, the price is testing the mitigation area, but the drop could be ripe for a meanwhile correction:

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.