|

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Bearish impulsive eyes 1.0530, German inflation and Fed’s Beige Book

  • EUR/USD fades previous rebound from the lowest levels in two months.
  • Failure to stay beyond short-term key horizontal area, three-week-old falling trend line favors Euro sellers.
  • RSI conditions may offer intermediate halt during the anticipated fall towards three-month-old “triple bottom” formation.

EUR/USD remains on the back foot around an intraday low of 1.0685 as it reverses the previous day’s corrective bounce heading into Wednesday’s European session.

In doing so, the Euro pair registers the buyer’s inability to keep the reins past the two-month-old horizontal resistance area, as well as a downward-sloping trend line from May 04.

Additionally favoring the EUR/USD seller is the RSI (14) line which still has some room before hitting the oversold territory, suggesting a gradual south-run of the major currency pair.

As a result, the quote is well-set for a slow grind toward the 1.0600 round figure. However, the triple bottoms near the 1.0530 support zone comprising multiple levels marked since late February appears a tough nut to crack for the EUR/USD bears afterward, especially amid a likely oversold RSI line at that level.

Meanwhile, the aforementioned horizontal region surrounding 1.0700-15 precedes the descending resistance line, close to 1.0725 at the latest, to restrict short-term EUR/USD recovery.

Following that, a 10-week-old horizontal hurdle around 1.0760-65 may act as the last defense of the Euro pair bears before giving control to the buyers.

EUR/USD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price1.0692
Today Daily Change-0.0042
Today Daily Change %-0.39%
Today daily open1.0734
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0859
Daily SMA501.0903
Daily SMA1001.0816
Daily SMA2001.049
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0747
Previous Daily Low1.0672
Previous Weekly High1.0831
Previous Weekly Low1.0702
Previous Monthly High1.1095
Previous Monthly Low1.0788
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0718
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0701
Daily Pivot Point S11.0689
Daily Pivot Point S21.0644
Daily Pivot Point S31.0615
Daily Pivot Point R11.0763
Daily Pivot Point R21.0792
Daily Pivot Point R31.0837

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD deflates to fresh lows, targets 1.1600

The selling pressure on EUR/USD now gathers extra pace, prompting the pair to hit fresh multi-week lows in the 1.1625-1.1620 band on Friday. The continuation of the downward bias comes in response to further gains in the US Dollar as market participants continue to assess the mixed release of US Nonfarm Payrolls in December.

GBP/USD breaks below 1.3400, challenges the 200-day SMA

GBP/USD remains under heavy fire and retreats for the fourth consecutive day on Friday. Indeed, Cable suffers the strong performance of the Greenback, intensified post-mixed NFP, and trades at shouting distance from its critical 200-day SMA near 1.3380.

Gold flirts with yearly tops around $4,500

Gold keeps its positive bias on Friday, adding to Thursday’s advance and challenging yearly highs in the $4,500 region per troy ounce. The risk-off sentiment favours the yellow metal despite the firmer tone in the Greenback and rising US Treasury yields.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP risk further decline as market fear persists amid slowing demand

Bitcoin holds $90,000 but stays below the 50-day EMA as institutional demand wanes. Ethereum steadies above $3,000 but remains structurally weak due to ETF outflows. XRP ETFs resume inflows, but the price struggles to gain ground above key support.

Week ahead – US CPI might challenge the geopolitics-boosted Dollar

Geopolitics may try to steal the limelight from US data. A possible US Supreme Court ruling on tariffs could dictate market movements. A crammed data calendar next week, US CPI comes on Tuesday; Fedspeak to intensify.

XRP trades under pressure amid weak retail demand

XRP presses down on the 50-day EMA support as risk-averse sentiment spreads despite a positive start to 2026. XRP faces declining retail demand, as reflected in futures Open Interest, which has fallen to $4.15 billion.