EUR/USD pinning for 1.06 as markets go risk-on post-US Retail Sales

The EUR/USD is climbing for Tuesday after risk appetite in the broader markets returns.
A clean beat for US Retail Sales figures is seeing investor sentiment improve, taking the USD lower.
The Euro is getting pushed higher in the broad-market Greenback slump, heading back into 1.0600.

Joshua Gibson FXStreet

The EUR/USD firmly in the green for Tuesday after US Retail Sales beat market expectations and saw upside revision to previous figures, sending investor risk appetite into the ceiling and sending the US Dollar (USD) broadly lower, bolstering the Euro (EUR) and taking the EUR/USD up from the day's early low of 1.0532 and sending it within inches of the 1.0600 major handle.

Headline US Retail Sales figures for September broadly beat median market forecasts of 0.3%, printing at 0.7% and seeing an upwards revision in the previous month's reading from 0.6% to 0.8%.

US Retail Sales rose 0.7% in September vs. 0.3% anticipated

Earlier on Tuesday the EU's ZEW Economic Sentiment Survey also soundly beat expectations, coming in at 2.3, soundly beating the forecast -8 and marking in a full bounceback from the previous print of -8.9.

Market sentiment has gone full risk-on, sending the Greenback down across the board and bolstering the EUR/USD back into levels that the currency pair initially lost a hold of following last week's risk-off souring.

Coming up next on Wednesday will be European Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices for September, where the headline monthly figure is forecast to hold steady at 0.3%.

EUR/USD Technical Outlook

Intraday action for the EUR/USD sees the pair busting out of recent price levels, clearing over the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA), but an overextension could quickly see near-term bids strung out in no-man's-land with little technical support.

Near-term price action is closing in on a heavy support/resistance zone from 1.0600 to 1.0620, while intraday swings are providing an intraday higher-lows support pattern.

Tuesday's reaction bid sees the EUR/USD re-challenging a descending trendline from 1.1250, and the EUR/USD remains firmly bearish, trading well below the 50-day SMA which is settling into 1.0700, forming technical resistance for any bullish breakouts.

EUR/USD Hourly Chart

EUR/USD Daily Chart

EUR/USD Technical Levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price	1.0592
Today Daily Change	0.0031
Today Daily Change %	0.29
Today daily open	1.0561

Trends
Daily SMA20	1.0571
Daily SMA50	1.0721
Daily SMA100	1.0832
Daily SMA200	1.0824

Levels
Previous Daily High	1.0563
Previous Daily Low	1.0511
Previous Weekly High	1.064
Previous Weekly Low	1.0496
Previous Monthly High	1.0882
Previous Monthly Low	1.0488
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%	1.0543
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%	1.0531
Daily Pivot Point S1	1.0527
Daily Pivot Point S2	1.0493
Daily Pivot Point S3	1.0475
Daily Pivot Point R1	1.0579
Daily Pivot Point R2	1.0597
Daily Pivot Point R3	1.063

Author

Joshua Gibson

FXStreet

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

GBP/USD keeps the bid bias near 1.3550

GBP/USD leaves behind part of the recent three-day retracement and hovers around the 1.3550 region on Monday. The Greenback’s fresh downward trend helps Cable and the rest of the risk complex recoup part of the recent ground lost while attention remains on the potential Fed rate path.

EUR/USD retakes 1.1600; looks at the 200-day SMA

EUR/USD manages to gather fresh steam and advances past the 1.1600 hurdle as Monday’s NA session draws to a close. Indeed, the pair patially reverses Friday’s sharp retracement amid the renewed downside momentum in the US Dollar. Moving forward, the flash Inflation Rate in the euro zone and US JOLTs and the ISM Manufacturing should keep investors entertained on turnaround Tuesday.

Gold: Defending $4,400 is critical for buyers

Gold fades Monday’s rebound from eight-day lows, reverting toward $4,400 early Tuesday. US Dollar bounces sharply amid US-Iran tensions-led risk aversion and hawkish Fed bets. Gold attacks 21-day SMA near $4,400 after defending it on Monday; RSI still bullish.

Bitcoin shows resilience at $78,000 – Arbitrum, Curve DAO rally

The broader cryptocurrency market sustains its risk-on sentiment, with Bitcoin (BTC) showing resilience near $78,000 on Tuesday. Arbitrum (ARB) records double-digit gains over the last 24 hours as the Robinhood app, built on Arbitrum Orbit, hits a record high in revenue collection, while Curve DAO (CRV) follows suit. Bitcoin trades at $78,415 at press time on Tuesday, holding a clear bullish bias.

Fed Chair Warsh runs open-mouth operations at Jackson Hole but can he deliver?

Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh moved markets on Friday with his Jackson Hole speech, even though the central bank has yet to do anything to move inflation. Clearly, Warsh wants to convey a message. He’s tough on inflation, and the Fed will “deliver price stability.”

Diesel’s record $100 warning: The oil shock hiding in plain sight

The Oil market may look calmer than it did a few months ago, but diesel is sending a very different message. The US diesel crack spread, the premium of ultra-low sulphur diesel futures over WTI, recently surged above $100 per barrel for the first time, reaching an intraday record of just over $102.00.