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EUR/USD: Mildly bid, but below key hurdle, focus on Eurozone PMIs

  • EUR/USD's weekly inside bar candlestick pattern makes Friday's close pivotal. 
  • Upbeat German PMI could put a strong bid under the EUR. 
  • A weekly close above 1.1086 is needed to boost bullish prospects. 

EUR/USD is mildly bid at press time and may gather upside traction in Europe if the preliminary German and Eurozone Purchasing Managers' Indices beat estimates. 

The currency pair is currently trading at 1.1025, representing 0.07% gains on the day, having hit a low of 1.1010 earlier today. 

EUR/USD fell 0.50% last week and traded well within the preceding week's high and low. Essentially, the pair created a bearish inside bar candlestick pattern on the weekly chart

The focus, therefore, is on Friday's close. The bullish prospects would improve significantly if the pair ends above last week's high of 1.1086 on Friday. Meanwhile, a close below 1.0996 (last week's low) would imply bearish continuation. 

Focus on PMIs

The German Markit Manufacturing PMI (Sep), scheduled for release at 07:30 GMT, is expected to show the manufacturing activity remained in contraction. The index is expected to print at 44.00 vs 43.5 in August. 

The Eurozone Manufacturing PMI (Sep) is expected to print at 47.3 vs 47.00. 

Markets have priced in the European Central Bank's (ECB) recent decision to restart the quantitative easing program from November. Hence, the EUR could rise sharply if the preliminary PMIs beat estimates. 

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.1025
Today Daily Change0.0007
Today Daily Change %0.06
Today daily open1.1018
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.1039
Daily SMA501.111
Daily SMA1001.1176
Daily SMA2001.1253
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.1068
Previous Daily Low1.0996
Previous Weekly High1.1084
Previous Weekly Low1.099
Previous Monthly High1.1251
Previous Monthly Low1.0962
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.1024
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.104
Daily Pivot Point S11.0987
Daily Pivot Point S21.0956
Daily Pivot Point S31.0916
Daily Pivot Point R11.1059
Daily Pivot Point R21.1099
Daily Pivot Point R31.113

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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