|

EUR/USD: Markets price in renewed political stability in France – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is up a marginal 0.1% against the US Dollar (USD) and a mid-performer among the G10 currencies, quietly consolidating in the mid/upper-1.16s as market participants focus on political developments in France and the prospect of renewed stability, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report.

EUR is marginally up

"France/Germany yield spreads are steady, reflecting PM Lecornu’s success in passing the first of two no-confidence votes scheduled for today."

"Sentiment continues to dominate as the EUR remains tightly correlated to risk reversals, which are once again pricing a slight premium for protection against EUR strength. Comments from the ECB continue to reinforce the central bank’s neutral stance on rates, confirming the market’s pricing of a policy hold through the end of the year."

"The RSI has recovered back to neutral levels around 50 and the EUR is attempting a break of the descending trend line drawn from the July lows. We remain neutral absent a break of the 50 day MA at 1.1691, and we see limited resistance ahead of 1.1750. We look to a near-term range bound between 1.1600 and 1.1700."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD: Bulls pray for a dovish Fed

EUR/USD has finally taken a breather after a pretty energetic climb. The pair broke above 1.1680 in the second half of the week, reaching its highest levels in around two months before running into some selling pressure. Even so, it has gained almost two cents from the late-November dip just below 1.1500 the figure.

GBP/USD trims gains, recedes toward 1.3320

GBP/USD is struggling to keep its daily advance, coming under fresh pressure and retreating to the 1.3320 zone following a mild bullish attempt in the Greenback. Even though US consumer sentiment surprised to the upside, the US Dollar isn’t getting much love, as traders are far more interested in what the Fed will say next week.

Gold: Bullish momentum fades despite broad USD weakness

After rising more than 3.5% in the previous week, Gold has entered a consolidation phase and fluctuated at around $4,200. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision and revised Summary of Economic Projections, also known as the dot plot, could trigger the next directional move in XAU/USD. 

Week ahead: Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low. Dollar weakness could linger; both the aussie and the yen best positioned to gain further. Gold and oil eye Ukraine-Russia developments; a peace deal remains elusive.

Week ahead – Rate cut or market shock? The Fed decides

Fed rate cut widely expected; dot plot and overall meeting rhetoric also matter. Risk appetite is supported by Fed rate cut expectations; cryptos show signs of life. RBA, BoC and SNB also meet; chances of surprises are relatively low.

Ripple faces persistent bear risks, shrugging off ETF inflows

Ripple is extending its decline for the second consecutive day, trading at $2.06 at the time of writing on Friday. Sentiment surrounding the cross-border remittance token continues to lag despite steady inflows into XRP spot ETFs.