|

EUR/USD juggles above 0.9900, downside looks likely on German energy crisis

  • EUR/USD is oscillating in a narrow range of 0.9906-0.9935 after a gap down open ahead of ECB policy.
  • Gazprom's promise of energy supply is insufficient to offset energy supply cut from Nord Stream 1 pipeline.
  • The DXY has refreshed its two-decade high at 110.09 on upbeats US NFP data.

The asset is witnessed a steep fall continuously after the release of the eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP). The preferred inflation indicator by the European Central Bank (ECB) landed at 9.1% led by the soaring energy crisis in the eurozone. The escalation of unscheduled maintenance of the Nord Stream 1 pipeline under the Baltic Sea due to leakage issues triggered an energy crisis. To offset the same, Russian energy giant, Gazprom said it will increase its shipments of gas to Europe via Ukraine, according to Politico.

Well, this doesn’t seem to be a permanent solution for energy supplies. Adding to that, the gas supplies en-routing through Ukraine could be troublesome as things are still complicated between Moscow and Kyiv.

Apart from that, the event of an interest rate decision by the ECB scheduled on Thursday has kept the investors on the tenterhooks. The ECB has remained laggard in hiking interest rates and is now forced to sound extremely hawkish to cool down the heated inflation. ECB President Christine Lagarde is expected to announce an interest rate hike by 50 basis points (bps) escalating the critical rates to 1%.

 As US markets will remain closed on account of Labor Day, risk sentiment is going to drive the FX domain. Investors should be noted that the US dollar index (DXY) has refreshed its two-decade high at 110.09. The release of the upbeat US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data strengthened the DXY. This will support the Federal Reserve (Fed) while handling the tedious job of slowing down inflationary pressures.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price0.9914
Today Daily Change-0.0039
Today Daily Change %-0.39
Today daily open0.9953
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0086
Daily SMA501.0172
Daily SMA1001.0388
Daily SMA2001.0796
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0034
Previous Daily Low0.9943
Previous Weekly High1.0079
Previous Weekly Low0.9911
Previous Monthly High1.0369
Previous Monthly Low0.9901
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9999
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9978
Daily Pivot Point S10.9919
Daily Pivot Point S20.9886
Daily Pivot Point S30.9828
Daily Pivot Point R11.001
Daily Pivot Point R21.0067
Daily Pivot Point R31.0101

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD defends 1.3300 after strong UK PMI data

Following Thursday's sharp decline, GBP/USD clings to small gains above 1.3300 in the American session on Friday, supported by the upbeat UK Retail Sales and July PMI data. Nevertheless, the pair's upside remains capped as investors cling to a cautious stance amid a further escalation of tensions in the Middle East. The US July PMI data failed to trigger relevant price action.

EUR/USD remains below 1.1400 after mixed US PMIs

EUR/USD pressures daily lows below the 1.1400 mark in the American session on Friday. Mixed S&P Global PMIs, as manufacturing output contracted while services activity expanded in July, triggered no relevant market reaction. The focus remains in Middle East developments and inflation-related concerns.

Gold holds above $4,050 but momentum still missing

Gold builds on its modest intraday bounce and climbs above the $4,050 level on Friday, hitting a fresh daily high amid a modest US Dollar pullback. The fundamental backdrop, however, warrants some caution before confirming that the pullback from an over two-week high, touched on Wednesday, has run its course and positioning for any meaningful upside.

Ethereum: Derivatives interest in ETH improves, but signs of caution remain

Ethereum is hovering slightly below the $1,900 level, down 3% on Thursday following a slight expansion in derivatives interest. The top altcoin's open interest has increased to 14.60 million ETH, marking a 600K ETH increase over the past two days and its highest level since June 7.

XRP retreats as ETF interest cools
Ripple (XRP) slides toward the short-term $1.10 support on Friday, as broader crypto market sentiment weighs on crypto assets. The sell-off mainly stems from fears of inflation in the United States (US) amid the ongoing war in the Middle East and rising Oil prices.
US Dollar mid-year outlook: Exceptional currency, exceptional risks?
The US Dollar enters the second half of 2026 in a markedly different position from a year ago. The King currency has recovered, reflecting persistent US inflation, changing expectations for Fed policy, geopolitical tensions and renewed demand for defensive assets.