|

EUR/USD: Indecisive market amid rising fears of currency wars

  • The EUR/USD creted a doji candle yesterday, signaling indecision in the market. 
  • Rising fears of currency wars could keep the EUR under pressure.

Currently, the EUR/USD is mildly bid around 0.7350, having created a doji candle on Thursday.

The candlestick pattern indicates indecision in the market place and the pair will likely adopt a bearish/bullis bias depending on today's close. The pair is seen resuming the journey towards 1.1852 (June 14 high) if it closes above the yesterday's doji candle high of 1.1852 (June 14 high). 

On the other hand, a close below 1.1575 would add credence to Tuesday's bearish outside-day candle and would shift risk in favor of a drop below 1.15 (psychological support). 

The Yuan devaluation and the rising fears of full-blown currency war between the US and China could trigger risk aversion in the equities and keep the common curency under pressure. Moreover, a retaliatory action by the US could also force the ECB and other central banks to adopt a dovish stance. 

No first tier data are scheduled for release in Europe and US, hence, the pair is at the mercy of the broader market sentiment. 

EUR/USD Technical Levels

Resistance: 1.1692 (50-day moving average), 1.1745 (July 17 high), 1.1852 (June 14 high).

Support: 1.1575 (previous day's low), 1.1508 (June 21 low), 1.1450 (100-week moving average).

 TREND INDEXOB/OS INDEXVOLATILY INDEX
15MBullishNeutral Expanding
1HBearishNeutral Shrinking
4HBearishNeutral Expanding
1DStrongly BearishNeutral Low
1WBearishNeutral High

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

More from Omkar Godbole
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD loses momentum, flirts with 1.3200

GBP/USD is struggling to maintain its positive bias on Thursday, retreating toward the 1.3200 region in response to the pick in the buying interest around the Greenback. That said, Cable remains under scrutiny as cautious market sentiment keeps investors focused on the US-Iran conflict and political effervescence in the UK.

EUR/USD trims gains, challenges 1.1400

EUR/USD now gives away part of its earlier advance, receding toward the 1.1400 contention zone on Thursday. Meanwhile, the pair’s recovery comes amid extra losses in the US Dollar, at the time when while investors continue to monitor developments in the Middle East and sentiment surrounding global technology stocks.

Gold remains bid and close to $4,100

Gold accelerates its recovery and approaches the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce at the end of the week, adding to Thursday’s advance. However, expectations for a hawkish Fed remain steady and keep the yellow metal’s potential upside contained.

Crypto Today: Bitcoin at $60,000, Ethereum at $1,500, and XRP at $1 face a make-or-break test

Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Ripple (XRP) are trading in the red on Friday after three consecutive days of losses, testing their respective make-or-break support levels.

Week ahead – NFP report to challenge Dollar strength and the hawkish Fed

Dollar strength dominates markets, as the hawkish Fed overshadows geopolitics and lower oil prices. NFP week could drive September Fed hike expectations and boost market volatility. The euro lacks fresh bullish catalysts, all eyes on the preliminary inflation report and the ECB Forum.

Regime change: Inside Kevin Warsh's first move to make the Fed unreadable on purpose

The rate did not move. That was the least interesting thing about Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the Fed. The FOMC held its benchmark at 3.50%-3.75% for the fourth straight meeting, exactly as priced, and then the new chair used his first press conference to dismantle the machinery the market has leaned on for a decade.