EUR/USD eyes biggest monthly loss since July 2019


  • EUR/USD is reporting a 1.76% month-to-date loss at press time. 
  • An above-forecast German Retail Sales number may offer respite to the bulls. 
  • Later today, the focus will be on Eurozone GDP and US Personal Spending data.

EUR/USD is on track to post its biggest monthly decline in six months. 

At press time, the currency pair is trading at 1.1025, representing a 1.76% drop from the monthly opening rate of 1.1222. That is the biggest monthly loss since July 2019. Back then, the pair had dropped by 2.58%. 

Eyes German Retail Sales

Consumer spending, as represented by Retail Sales, is forecasted to have dropped by 0.5% month-on-month in December, following November’s 2.1% rise. 

The annualized figure is expected to have risen by 5% compared to November’s 2.8% rise. 

The euro had rallied from 1.1157 to 1.1205 on Jan 6 on the back of an above-forecast November Retail Sales print. 

A similar action could be seen today if the retail sales beat estimates – more so, as the daily chart is reporting signs of seller exhaustion near 1.10. 

However, if the data prints below estimates, sellers may try to force a convincing break below 1.10. 

Later in the day, the focus will be on the Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the fourth quarter and the US Personal Spending and Personal Income numbers.

Technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.1025
Today Daily Change -0.0007
Today Daily Change % -0.06
Today daily open 1.1032
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.1096
Daily SMA50 1.1099
Daily SMA100 1.1072
Daily SMA200 1.1128
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.1039
Previous Daily Low 1.1002
Previous Weekly High 1.1118
Previous Weekly Low 1.102
Previous Monthly High 1.124
Previous Monthly Low 1.1002
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1025
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.1016
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.101
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0987
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0973
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1047
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1061
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1084

 

 

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