EUR/USD extends sideways grind around 1.1800 after US data

  • EUR/USD is fluctuating in a very tight range on Friday.
  • US Dollar Index stays in the positive territory around 92.70.
  • Consumer confidence in the US weakened in July.

The EUR/USD pair is having a difficult time finding direction on Friday as investors pay little to no attention to the latest data releases from the US. At the moment, the pair is down 0.07% on the day at 1.1803 and remains on track to post its lowest weekly close since late March.

The US Census Bureau reported on Friday that Retail Sales increased by 0.6% on a monthly basis in June. This reading beat the market expectation for a decline of 0.4% by a wide margin. On a negative note, the University of Michigan's (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index dropped to 80.8 in July's advanced estimate from 85.5, falling short of analysts' estimate of 86.5. Additionally, the UoM's publication revealed that the 1-year Inflation Outlook rose to its highest level in nearly 13 years at 4.8%.

Following these data releases, the US Dollar Index clings to modest daily gains around 92.70, not allowing EUR/USD to stage a rebound.

EUR/USD outlook

FX analysts at UOB Group think that EUR/USD is likely to remain in a consolidation phase between 1.1770 and 1.1895 in the next 1-3 weeks.

"EUR is likely trade between 1.1770 and 1.1895 for a period of time. Looking ahead, a daily closing below 1.1770 would suggest that EUR is ready to head towards 1.1700," analysts said. "The prospect for EUR to move to 1.1700 is not high for now but it would remain intact as long as EUR does not move above 1.1895."

Additional levels to watch for


Today last price 1.1802
Today Daily Change -0.0011
Today Daily Change % -0.09
Today daily open 1.1813
Daily SMA20 1.187
Daily SMA50 1.2039
Daily SMA100 1.1993
Daily SMA200 1.2006
Previous Daily High 1.1851
Previous Daily Low 1.1796
Previous Weekly High 1.1895
Previous Weekly Low 1.1782
Previous Monthly High 1.2254
Previous Monthly Low 1.1845
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.1817
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.183
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.1789
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.1766
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.1735
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.1844
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.1874
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.1898



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