|

EUR/USD: Expected to edge lower – UOB Group

The Euro (EUR) is expected to edge lower; it remains to be seen if it can break the major support at 1.0900. In the longer run, outlook for EUR remains negative; the next level to watch is 1.0900, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Next level to watch is 1.0900

24-HOUR VIEW: “We expected EUR to trade in a sideways range of 1.0950/1.1000 yesterday. However, it edged lower to 1.0936, closing at 1.0939 (- 0.37%). There has been a slight increase in momentum, and EUR is likely to continue to edge lower today. That said, it remains to be seen if it has enough momentum to break the major support at 1.0900. Resistance is at 1.0960; a breach of 1.0980 would mean that the current mild downward pressure has faded.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Our latest narrative was from Monday (07 Oct, spot at 1.0970), wherein ‘further EUR weakness appears likely.’ We pointed out ‘the next two support levels to monitor are 1.0935 and 1.0900.’ Yesterday (Wednesday), EUR dropped to a low of 1.0936. While there has been no significant increase in momentum, the outlook for EUR remains negative. The next level to watch is at 1.0900. Note that below this level lies a significant support zone between 1.0860 and 1.0885. On the upside, a breach of 1.1010 (‘strong resistance’ level previously at 1.1045) would mean that the EUR weakness from the middle of last week (see annotations in the chart below) has come to an end.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD hits multi-week tops around 1.3560

GBP/USD gathers fresh steam and advances to new three-month peaks near the 1.3560 zone on Friday. Cable’s sharp move higher comes after three daily drops in a row and follows the increasing selling pressure hurting the Greenback.

EUR/USD pops to fresh two-month highs, targets 1.1600

EUR/USD advances markedly, revisiting the upper 1.1500s for the first time since mid-June. The pair’s sharp uptick comes on the back of a strong retracement in the US Dollar amid BoJ intervention chatter and despite steady uncertainty in the Middle East.

Gold picks up pace, approaches $4,400

Gold rebounds toward the $4,400 mark per troy ounce on Friday, reversing the previous day’s pullback. The precious metal’s recovery comes as fresh and intense weakness keep weighing on the US Dollar, while traders keep assessing easing expectations of an imminent Fed interest rate hike and the situation from the Middle East.

Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases. PI token’s technical outlook is mixed, as bearish momentum wanes to neutral, with bulls eyeing the $0.1000 psychological level.
 Weekly focus: Some relief in US inflation concerns

Actual inflation data for July came out as expected with a 0.1% m/m increase in headline CPI and 0.2% excluding food and energy. Annual headline inflation remains too high at 3.4% and means that wage earners are experiencing stagnating spending power at best, and core inflation is a bit higher than the inflation target of two percent would suggest.

Why is Crude Oil priced for a reopening the ships haven't made?
Fourteen vessels crossed the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday. Before the war, the count ran near 120 a day. In the sessions since the waterway was publicly declared open, Brent has drifted back to $87 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) to $81, both a little lower again on Wednesday, with daily momentum on each unwound from the top of its range in late July to the low twenties now.