|

EUR/USD ends week flat, hovering around 1.2300

  • Euro continues to move sideways against US dollar after ECB, NFP. 
  • Pair heads for third weekly close around the 1.2300 area. 

EUR/USD rebounded on Friday and erased daily losses. It was about to end practically at the same level it had a week ago. 

The pair bottomed on Friday after the release of the US employment report. According to it, the economy created 313K jobs in February surpassing expectations. On the negative side, average hourly earnings rose 0.15% and 2.6% from 12 months ago (below 0.2% and 2.8% expected). 

After the report, EUR/USD dropped to 1.2273, the lowest level since Monday. Then rebounded and during the American session rose to 1.2335, printing a fresh daily high. Near the end of the day, it was hovering slightly above 1.2300, flat for the day and the week. 

Outlook 

EUR/USD continues to move sideways on a wider perspective. Despite fears of a trade war, the ECB removal of the easing bias and NFP numbers, the pair was unable to move away from the 1.2300 area. 

The euro is consolidating at the highest level since 2014, after rising sharply during January. The rally was capped by a long-term dynamic resistance located around 1.2500, a downtrend line from 2008. The chart shows the pair undecided and without clear signals about the direction of the next move: correction or another leg higher. 

Next week data includes CPI and retail sales in the US and wage growth and (final) CPI in the Eurozone. 
 

Author

Matías Salord

Matías started in financial markets in 2008, after graduating in Economics. He was trained in chart analysis and then became an educator. He also studied Journalism. He started writing analyses for specialized websites before joining FXStreet.

More from Matías Salord
Share:

Editor's Picks

AUD/USD stuck as the RBA talks tough into a slowdown

The Australian Dollar is going nowhere in a hurry, and the contradiction at its core explains why. The Reserve Bank of Australia keeps dangling the prospect of another hike, yet the economy it governs just expanded 0.3% in the first quarter, a clear step down from the prior pace. A central bank threatening to tighten into a visible slowdown is not a recipe for conviction in either direction, and the tape shows it.

USD/JPY: Japanese Yen coiled at the line, leaning on everyone but Japan

The Yen is doing very little, and that stasis is the whole story. USD/JPY sits glued near 160.00 not because Japan has found new strength, but because two outside forces are fighting to a draw over it: a US rate complex that keeps the dollar bid, and a Ministry of Finance that refuses to let the line break.

Gold declines below $4,500 on stalled US-Iran ceasefire talks, US NFP data looms

Gold price edges lower to near $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 


Bitcoin falls below $64K as demand turns negative, short-term holders' selling intensifies

Bitcoin has fallen below $64,000 on Thursday amid weakening market demand and mounting selling pressure from short-term holders. The leading cryptocurrency slipped toward the $63,000 level amid a broader risk-off environment, with several key metrics signaling one of the most challenging periods of the current market cycle.

Nonfarm payrolls: Testing the limits of Fed policy patience

The upcoming nonfarm payrolls report for May will provide the final update on the US labor market before Kevin Warsh attends his first policy meeting as the new Fed Chair later this month.

Recession on paper: What really moves the Canadian Loonie now?

Statistics Canada handed the headline writers a gift and the analysts a headache. Real GDP shrank 0.1% on an annualized basis in the first quarter, and with the fourth quarter of 2025 revised down to a 1.0% contraction, that is two negative quarters in a row, the textbook definition of a technical recession and Canada's first since the pandemic.