EUR/USD: Balance of risks still favour 1.10 in 2Q19 – ING

Sandeep Kanihama FXStreet Contributor

According to analysts at ING, there seems to be a little reason to change the near term view that EUR/USD pair stays offered this summer and will test the 1.10, barring a temporary squeeze of short EUR positions.

Key Quotes

“US-China trade tension is unresolved and there is a still a risk that later this month President Trump opts for tariffs on auto imports.”

“Admittedly there are a few green shoots in terms of European growth, but probably not enough to lift Euro area interest rates off the floor. The TLTRO III to be announced by the ECB in June should also cement the view that EUR rates stay lower for longer.”

“A good showing from Salvini’s League in European elections end month also raises the risk of new Italian elections later this year.”

Author

Sandeep Kanihama

FXStreet Contributor

Sandeep Kanihama is an FX Editor and Analyst with FXstreet having principally focus area on Asia and European markets with commodity, currency and equities coverage. He is stationed in the Indian capital city of Delhi.

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