|

EUR/USD attempts to extend recovery above 1.0440 ahead of eurozone PMI and Fed minutes

  • EUR/USD is aiming to violate 1.0440 as investors see eurozone PMI stable.
  • The DXY is displaying a subdued performance as the focus has shifted to the Fed minutes.
  • The ECB may announce its first interest rate hike after a span of 11 years.

The EUR/USD pair is juggling in a narrow range of 1.0423-1.0438 in the Asian session after rebounding from the critical support of 1.0420. On a broader note, the shared currency bulls have defended the significant support of 1.0380 and have recovered firmly as investors are betting over a rate hike by the European Central Bank (ECB).

The FX domain is waiting for the rate hike announcement from the ECB as it will be the first rate hike by the central bank in the past 11 years. Taking into consideration the plain-vanilla Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), which has climbed to 8.6%, a rate hike looks invincible. The households in Europe are facing real income shocks as soaring oil and food prices have reduced their paychecks. However, the continuation of an accommodative monetary policy may elevate the price rise further.

In today’s session, investors will keep an eye on the eurozone PMI data. The S&P Global Composite and Services PMI are expected to remain stable at 51.9 and 52.8 respectively.

Meanwhile, the US dollar index (DXY) is facing barricades around 105.20 as the asset is expected to remain volatile ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes, which are due on Wednesday. The release of the Fed minutes will unfold the ideology behind announcing the 75 basis points (bps) interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in its June monetary policy.

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price1.0435
Today Daily Change0.0014
Today Daily Change %0.13
Today daily open1.0421
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.0522
Daily SMA501.0566
Daily SMA1001.0793
Daily SMA2001.1101
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0463
Previous Daily Low1.0417
Previous Weekly High1.0615
Previous Weekly Low1.0366
Previous Monthly High1.0774
Previous Monthly Low1.0359
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0435
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0445
Daily Pivot Point S11.0405
Daily Pivot Point S21.0388
Daily Pivot Point S31.0359
Daily Pivot Point R11.045
Daily Pivot Point R21.0479
Daily Pivot Point R31.0496

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Editor's Picks

GBP/USD stays weak below 1.3600 as USD bulls await Warsh's speech

GBP/USD is consolidating near the lower end of its weekly range, below the 1.3600 mark, during European trading hours on Thursday. The pair's downside, however, remains cushioned as traders await Fed Chair Warsh's speech on Friday for more cues about the US central bank's interest rate path before placing fresh directional bets.

EUR/USD holds range around 1.1650 as USD steadies

EUR/USD keeps its range around 1.1650 in the European session on Thursday. Hawkish ECB expectations support the pair as the US Dollar consolidates after the US PCE data-driven advance. The focus remains on Middle East developments and US Jobless Claims data.

Gold holds steady around $4,600 as traders eye Fed's Warsh for rate cues

Gold languishes near the $4,600 mark through the first half of the European session on Thursday and remains close to the weekly low it touched the previous day. The downside, however, seems limited as traders opt to wait for US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday for cues on the future policy path. The outlook, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar price dynamics and provide some meaningful impetus to the non-yielding bullion.

Ripple eases to $1.40, Solana hits $100, DOGE capped below $0.10
Ripple (XRP) and Dogecoin (DOGE) are facing downside pressure after double-digit gains last week, while Solana (SOL) extends its rally to $100. The technical outlook for XRP, SOL, and DOGE points to potential upside as the broader market sustains a risk-on sentiment.
Jackson Hole kicks off after upside PCE surprise
In China, industrial profits rose 17.6% y/y to CNY 4.58tn in the first seven months of 2026, slowing from an 18.7% increase in January-June. The moderation follows several months of strong profit growth around 20% y/y, supported by higher producer prices and solid manufacturing activity.
Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole dilemma: Say too much, too little, or just enough

Kevin Warsh is preparing to deliver his first Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair on Friday, and expectations extend well beyond whether interest rates will be raised or left unchanged in September.