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EUR/USD advances to 2-week tops near 1.1370 on broad USD weakness

  • USD continues to weaken ahead of FOMC minutes.
  • US Dollar Index slumps to 14-day lows.
  • Consumer confidence in the euro area improves slightly in February.

The EUR/USD broke above the 1.1350 resistance area in the NA session and touched its highest level in two weeks at 1.1372. As of writing, the pair was trading a couple of pips below that level, adding 0.21% on a daily basis.

Earlier in the session, the European Commission announced that the Consumer Confidence Index improved to -7.4 in February (preliminary) to come in better than the market expectation of -7.8. Commenting on the data, "The geopolitical risks that play out over the coming weeks are likely to decide on very divergent confidence scenarios for the Eurozone consumer. With finances in a strong position, consumption is likely to be an important driver of the economy in uncertain times as today’s figures indicate," said ING's senior economist Bert Colijn.

On the other hand, with the 10-year US T-bond yield failing to stay in the positive territory, the US Dollar Index lost its traction in the second half of the day and slumped to its lowest level since February 6 at 96.29. As investors are moving to the sidelines while waiting for the FOMC to publish the minutes of its Jan. 29-30 meeting, the DXY is losing 0.22% on the day at 96.32.

Previewing the FOMC event, "How will a positive outcome to Brexit and US-China affect the Fed’s economic estimates and policy projections?  Will US economic growth ebb or accelerate if global growth levels off or improves?" questions FXStreet senior analyst Joseph Trevisani and adds: "Whether the FOMC minutes will  provide answers is questionable and historically unlikely but they will be scoured nonetheless." 

Key technical levels

EUR/USD

Overview:
    Today Last Price: 1.1367
    Today Daily change %: 0.21%
    Today Daily Open: 1.1343
Trends:
    Daily SMA20: 1.1368
    Daily SMA50: 1.1392
    Daily SMA100: 1.14
    Daily SMA200: 1.1524
Levels:
    Previous Daily High: 1.1358
    Previous Daily Low: 1.1276
    Previous Weekly High: 1.1344
    Previous Weekly Low: 1.1234
    Previous Monthly High: 1.1586
    Previous Monthly Low: 1.1289
    Daily Fibonacci 38.2%: 1.1327
    Daily Fibonacci 61.8%: 1.1307
    Daily Pivot Point S1: 1.1293
    Daily Pivot Point S2: 1.1243
    Daily Pivot Point S3: 1.121
    Daily Pivot Point R1: 1.1376
    Daily Pivot Point R2: 1.1409
    Daily Pivot Point R3: 1.1459

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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