EUR/JPY Price Prediction: Reaches oversold levels as downtrend extends

EUR/JPY is in a downtrend but it has reached oversold levels according to the RSI.
The pair is closing in on key support and could find its feet and pullback.

Joaquin Monfort FXStreet

EUR/JPY extends its decline on Monday but reaches oversold levels. The pair is in a short and medium-term downtrend since the October 31 peak, and given the technical analysis dictum that “the trend is your friend” the odds favor more downside to come.

However, according to the Relative Strength Index (RSI) the pair is in the oversold zone (below 30) and this means short-holders should not add to their positions. It indicates there is a higher probability of a pullback occurring and prices recovering.

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY has almost reached support at around 156.50 from the trendline formed by joining the August and September lows. There is a strong possibility the pair could stall at the line and consolidate.

A deeper sell-off, however, could take EUR/JPY down to 154.00 – 155.00, at the actual August-September lows.

(This story was corrected on December 2 at 15:07 GMT to say "EUR/JPY has almost reached support..." instead of AUD/USD as previously stated.)

Author

Joaquin Monfort

FXStreet

Joaquin Monfort is a financial writer and analyst with over 10 years experience writing about financial markets and alt data. He holds a degree in Anthropology from London University and a Diploma in Technical analysis.

GBP/USD holds above 1.3350 with the 200-day SMA capping gains

The British Pound appreciates against the US Dollar on Tuesday to trim previous losses and return to the 1.3375 area, aiming to retest resistance at the key 200-day Simple Moving Average. This is a popular indicator, which lies a few pips below 1.3400 and has been capping Pound’s recovery over the last two weeks.

EUR/USD consolidates gains above 1.1400

Following an earlier move to multi-day peaks past 1.1460, EUR/USD has now slipped back toward the low 1.1400s as the NA session draws to a close on Tuesday. Declining bets for potential Fed tightening later in the year coupled with poor US CPI data hurt the US Dollar, lending fresh legs to the pair and the broader risk-linked universe. Moving forward, the release of US PPI and Chair Warsh’s second testumony should keep investors entertained on Wednesday.

Gold battles to recover the $4,100 mark

Gold reverses the recent weakness and reclaims the area beyond the key $4,000 mark per troy ounce on Tuesday. The precious metal’s recovery picks up pace and approaches the $4,100 region following the Greenback’s decline and comments from the Fed’s Warsh.

Bitcoin, crypto market post gains following weaker US inflation reading

The crypto market posted gains on Tuesday following the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for June, which showed that inflation cooled below market expectations. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, annual inflation slowed to 3.5% in June from 4.2% in May, marking its first decline in five months and coming in below the consensus forecast of 3.8%.

Fed Chair Warsh reaffirms they will deliver price stability

While testifying on the Semiannual Monetary Policy Report before the US House Financial Services Committee, Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh reiterated that the Fed is making a commitment on price stability and the goal of 2% inflation.

Five sessions, one round trip: Why the whipsaw is exactly what Warsh ordered

Markets opened July with a December hike as the base case and spent five trading sessions unlearning and relearning it. A 57K payrolls print bled the tightening bets out of the strip; a re-shut Strait of Hormuz is pushing them back in. Wednesday's minutes from the June FOMC meeting landed mid-round-trip, describing a world that had already stopped existing.